Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 21

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno)

Referee: Ghersini D. (Ita)


	Ascoli		Bari

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.75	3.1	Watch
	2.55	2.87	3
	2.6	2.9	2.95	Watch
	2.65	3.1	3.18
	2.78	2.78	3.26
	2.45	2.9	2.9
	2.66	2.85	3.08	Watch
	2.65	2.8	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.54)	2.87 ↓ (2.99)	3.06 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ascoli
36%

Draw
33%

Bari
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

31.5%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

33.5%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bari than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	66.7%	20%

Ascoli - Bari Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Bari will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Viviano E. (G) 16. Vaisanen S. 33. Botteghin E. 14. Quaranta D. 23. Falzerano M. 41. Valzania L. 18. Di Tacchio F. 73. Masini P. 54. Falasco N. 90. Mendes P. 99. Rodriguez P.	22. Brenno (G) 93. Dorval M. 5. Matino E. 23. Vicari F. 31. Ricci G. 4. Maita M. 8. Benali A. 24. Edjouma M. 91. Kallon Y. 9. Nasti M. 20. Sibilli G.
Substitutes
17. Adjapong C. 12. Bolletta L. (G) 13. Celia R. 15. D'Uffizi S. 8. Giovane S. 94. Maiga Silvestri Y. 28. Manzari G. 20. Milanese T. 30. Nestorovski I. 96. Rossi E. 11. Streng J. 32. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G)	44. Acampora G. 11. Achik I. 16. Astrologo A. 10. Bellomo N. 14. Lulic K. 7. Menez J. 77. Morachioli G. 38. Pissardo M. (G) 25. Pucino R. 47. Puscas G. 21. Zuzek Z.
Coaches
Castori F.	Marino P.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Bari could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Ascoli won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
14.01.24	Parma - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
26.12.23	Ascoli - Cittadella	0:0 ✺
23.12.23	Pisa - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Ascoli - Catanzaro	1:0 ✺
09.12.23	Ascoli - Spezia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TTLWL
- AS Bari
Italian Serie B
13.01.24	Bari - Ternana	3:1 ✺
26.12.23	Sampdoria - Bari	1:1 ✺
23.12.23	Bari - Nuova Cosenza	0:0 ✺
15.12.23	Spezia - Bari	1:0 ✺
09.12.23	Bari - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
04.11.23	Bari - Ascoli	1:0
05.03.23	Ascoli - Bari	0:1
15.10.22	Bari - Ascoli	0:2
28.03.18	Ascoli - Bari	1:0
28.10.17	Bari - Ascoli	3:0
14.05.17	Bari - Ascoli	0:1
24.12.16	Ascoli - Bari	1:1

Upcoming Matches