Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 18

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday

Location: Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani (Pisa)

Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)


	Pisa		Ascoli

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.25	4.33	Watch
	1.93	3.1	4.2
	2.05	3.1	3.75	Watch
	2.06	3.1	4.68
	2.03	3.1	4.69
	1.85	3.2	4.2
	1.92	3.2	4.4	Watch
	1.95	3.15	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.07)	3.15 ↓ (3.17)	4.31 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pisa
48.1%

Draw
30%

Ascoli
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

29.8%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

28.3%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pisa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	58.3%	16.7%

Pisa - Ascoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Pisa will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Ascoli will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nicolas A. (G) 42. Barbieri T. 4. Caracciolo Ant. (C) 5. Canestrelli S. 19. Esteves T. 16. Nagy A. 44. Veloso M. 77. D'Alessandro M. 27. Valoti M. 17. Mlakar J. 32. Moreo S.	2. Viviano E. (G) 17. Adjapong C. 33. Botteghin E. 14. Quaranta D. 40. Bayeye B. J. 73. Masini P. 5. Gnahore E. 8. Giovane S. 54. Falasco N. 99. Rodriguez P. 90. Mendes P.
Substitutes
28. Arena A. 30. De Vitis A. 9. Gliozzi E. 6. Hermannsson H. 3. Leverbe M. 22. Loria L. (G) 26. Masucci G. 36. Piccinini G. 10. Torregrossa E. 15. Toure I. 7. Tramoni L. 23. Vignato E.	97. Amato D. (G) 1. Barosi D. (G) 15. D'Uffizi S. 3. Haveri K. 94. Maiga Silvestri Y. 28. Manzari G. 20. Milanese T. 7. Millico V. 96. Rossi E.
Coaches
Aquilani A.	Castori F.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pisa won 2.

Recent matches Pisa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ascoli is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Pisa is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Pisa won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Pisa won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Pisa
Italian Serie B
16.12.23	Palermo - Pisa	3:2 ✺
09.12.23	Catanzaro - Pisa	2:0 ✺
02.12.23	Pisa - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
25.11.23	Pisa - Brescia	1:1 ✺
11.11.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Pisa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLTTW
- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
16.12.23	Ascoli - Catanzaro	1:0 ✺
09.12.23	Ascoli - Spezia	1:2 ✺
02.12.23	Venezia - Ascoli	3:1 ✺
25.11.23	Reggiana - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
11.11.23	Ascoli - Como	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
01.05.23	Ascoli - Pisa	2:1
08.12.22	Pisa - Ascoli	2:0
16.03.22	Ascoli - Pisa	2:0
01.11.21	Pisa - Ascoli	1:1
02.03.21	Ascoli - Pisa	0:2
08.12.20	Pisa - Ascoli	2:1
27.07.20	Pisa - Ascoli	1:0

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