Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 20

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)

Referee: Fourneau F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV
Italy	Sky Sport


	Parma		Ascoli

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.75	5.5	Watch
	1.61	3.7	5.5
	1.66	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.68	3.74	6.2
	1.66	3.74	6.2
	1.6	3.5	5.5
	1.67	3.68	5.35	Watch
	1.64	3.65	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.59)	3.67 ↓ (3.86)	5.64 ↓ (5.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Parma
57.5%

Draw
25.8%

Ascoli
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

24.4%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

23.8%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	12.5%	4.2%

Parma - Ascoli Predictions

Users Predictions: Parma will win (20 of 24 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.42% – 98.24%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chichizola L. (G) 15. Del Prato E. 4. Balogh B. 39. Circati A. 26. Coulibaly W. 8. Estevez N. 27. Hernani 98. Man D. 10. Bernabe A. 28. Mihaila V. 7. Benedyczak A.	2. Viviano E. (G) 55. Bellusci G. 33. Botteghin E. 14. Quaranta D. 8. Giovane S. 23. Falzerano M. 18. Di Tacchio F. 73. Masini P. 54. Falasco N. 90. Mendes P. 99. Rodriguez P.
Substitutes
11. Begic T. 13. Bonny A. 9. Charpentier G. 17. Colak A. 40. Corvi E. (G) 64. Cyprien W. 77. Di Chiara G. 20. Hainaut A. 3. Osorio Y. 21. Partipilo A. 19. Sohm S. 22. Turk M. (G)	17. Adjapong C. 1. Barosi D. (G) 13. Celia R. 15. D'Uffizi S. 5. Gnahore E. 3. Haveri K. 94. Maiga Silvestri Y. 28. Manzari G. 20. Milanese T. 30. Nestorovski I. 96. Rossi E. 41. Valzania L.
Coaches
Pecchia F.	Castori F.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Parma won 2.

Recent matches Parma is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ascoli is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Parma is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Parma won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Parma won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Parma
Italian Serie B
26.12.23	Brescia - Parma	0:2 ✺
23.12.23	Parma - Ternana	3:1 ✺
16.12.23	Nuova Cosenza - Parma	0:0 ✺
10.12.23	Parma - Palermo	3:3 ✺
Coppa Italia
06.12.23	Fiorentina - Parma	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWTTL
- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
26.12.23	Ascoli - Cittadella	0:0 ✺
23.12.23	Pisa - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Ascoli - Catanzaro	1:0 ✺
09.12.23	Ascoli - Spezia	1:2 ✺
02.12.23	Venezia - Ascoli	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
28.10.23	Ascoli - Parma	1:3
18.02.23	Parma - Ascoli	0:1
17.09.22	Ascoli - Parma	1:3
18.04.22	Parma - Ascoli	0:1
05.12.21	Ascoli - Parma	0:0
16.04.18	Ascoli - Parma	0:1
18.11.17	Parma - Ascoli	4:0

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