Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 30 March 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	TDMAX


	Aserrí		Carmelita

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.25	3.1
	2.12	3.3	3.32
	2.15	3.29	3.34	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3
	2.09	3.1	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.19)	3.21 ↓ (3.29)	3.22 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aserrí
43.1%

Draw
28.5%

Carmelita
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

28.2%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

27.8%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aserrí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Carmelita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aserrí than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carmelita than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Aserrí - Carmelita Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Aserrí will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 8)

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Carmelita may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Aserrí has had a series of away games.

Aserrí might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aserrí won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Aserrí won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aserrí FC
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
26.03.26	Santa Ana - Aserrí	3:2 ✺
19.03.26	Cariari Pococí - Aserrí	2:2 ✺
12.03.26	Desamparados - Aserrí	6:2 ✺
09.03.26	Aserrí - Uruguay de Coronado	1:0 ✺
02.03.26	Pitbulls - Aserrí	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LTLWT
- Deportiva Carmelita
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
25.03.26	Carmelita - Desamparados	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Uruguay de Coronado - Carmelita	3:0 ✺
16.03.26	Carmelita - Pitbulls	1:0 ✺
12.03.26	Cariari Pococí - Carmelita	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Carmelita - Escorpiones de Belén	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
15.02.26	Carmelita - Aserrí	2:2
02.11.25	Carmelita - Aserrí	1:1
18.09.25	Aserrí - Carmelita	1:0
25.04.22	Aserrí - Carmelita	2:3 ET
19.04.22	Carmelita - Aserrí	1:0

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