The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Carmelita 41.3%
Draw 27.5%
Guadalupe 31.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33.2%
26.7%
40.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.8%
25.7%
38.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carmelita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carmelita's performance.
Guadalupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guadalupe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carmelita than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carmelita that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guadalupe than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guadalupe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Carmelita - Guadalupe Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
#ad
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+3', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carmelita won 3.
Carmelita is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Guadalupe has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Carmelita carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Carmelita has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:12 (averaging 1.7:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Carmelita against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 11:6 goals (averaging 2.8:1.5 per game).
Watch
#ad
Bet ยฃ10 and get ยฃ30 in Free Bets
