The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carmelita 50.9%
Draw 25.4%
Guadalupe 23.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.2%
26.7%
40.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.8%
24.8%
37.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carmelita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carmelita's performance.
Guadalupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guadalupe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carmelita than the current prediction. (-15.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carmelita that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guadalupe than the current prediction. (+13.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guadalupe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Carmelita - Guadalupe Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carmelita won 3.
Carmelita has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Guadalupe has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Carmelita has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:12 (averaging 1.7:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Carmelita against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 11:6 goals (averaging 2.8:1.5 per game).
Watch
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