Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 26

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sodertalje Fotbollsarena (Södertälje) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Sweden	16:00	Ettan Play


	Assyriska Föreningen		FBK Karlstad

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.52	3.45	2.38
	2.33	3.6	2.26
	2.54	3.79	2.43	Watch
	2.45	3.45	2.3
	2.63	3.72	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.31)	3.6 ↑ (3.54)	2.35 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Assyriska Föreningen
36.3%

Draw
25.1%

FBK Karlstad
38.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.8%

25.3%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

25.9%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Assyriska Föreningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

FBK Karlstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Assyriska Föreningen than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBK Karlstad than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Assyriska Föreningen - FBK Karlstad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Osayi K. (G) 23. Asberg V. (C) 12. Edgren S. 22. Haddad M. 16. Hillemar L. 10. Jarret-Marston K. 6. Kalabane A. 2. Sjoblom E. 3. Tahwildaran L. 4. Wandin S. 14. Widerberg V.	20. Johansson V. (G) 18. Forsberg E. (C) 4. Fredriksson L. 26. Hagelberg A. 13. Hoiby J. 6. Marigliano C. 21. Navassardian E. 17. Olsson W. 8. Oluwayemi M. 38. Steen L. 22. Tigerholm V.
Substitutes
8. Diagne A. 11. Goncalves Karlstedt J. 13. Jacob A. 24. Jacob A. 9. Jonsson L. 19. Jovanovic N. 21. Ronnelow L. (G)	14. Buisson B. 1. Dahlberg K. V. (G) 15. Dukhan W. 9. Johansson Bahar F. 3. Parleholt A. 23. Rostlund A. 12. Sandstad A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Jarret-Marston K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Olsson W. ↓, Sandstad A. ↑,
71', Oluwayemi M. ↓, Dukhan W. ↑,
71', Marigliano C. ↓, Parleholt A. ↑,
75', Hillemar L. ↓, Diagne A. ↑,
81', Dukhan W. 🟨,
82', Navassardian E. ↓, Buisson B. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 9th and 5th).

Recent results have been tough for Assyriska FF (last 5 matches: 1 win).

FBK Karlstad is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Assyriska FF has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 9:6 (averaging 3:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Assyriska FF against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	FBK Karlstad	28	13	7	8	44:38	6	46
9	Assyriska FF	28	10	5	13	46:51	-5	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Assyriska Föreningen
Swedish Division 1 Norra
03.10.26	Stockholm Internazionale - Assyriska Föreningen	3:0 ✺
27.09.26	Assyriska Föreningen - Piteå	1:2 ✺
21.09.26	Vasalund - Assyriska Föreningen	1:5 ✺
17.09.26	Assyriska Föreningen - AFC Eskilstuna	2:5 ✺
10.09.26	Enköping - Assyriska Föreningen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWLL
- FBK Karlstad
Swedish Division 1 Norra
03.10.26	FBK Karlstad - AFC Eskilstuna	2:2 ✺
27.09.26	Umeå - FBK Karlstad	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	FBK Karlstad - Sollentuna	0:0 ✺
16.09.26	Karlstad - FBK Karlstad	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	FBK Karlstad - Vasalund	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
01.08.26	FBK Karlstad - Assyriska Föreningen	0:2
01.09.24	Assyriska Föreningen - FBK Karlstad	2:3
08.06.24	FBK Karlstad - Assyriska Föreningen	3:5

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