Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 23

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Örsholmens IP (Karlstad)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	FBK Karlstad		Sollentuna

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	3.40	3.70
	1.89	3.40	3.40
	1.75	4.09	4.51
	1.84	3.84	3.77	Watch
	1.63	3.95	4.40
	1.77	3.86	4.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.93)	3.76 ↑ (3.5)	3.98 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FBK Karlstad
52.1%

Draw
24.6%

Sollentuna
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

25.9%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

24.5%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FBK Karlstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FBK Karlstad's performance.

Sollentuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBK Karlstad than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sollentuna than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

FBK Karlstad - Sollentuna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Johansson V. (G) 15. Dukhan W. 18. Forsberg E. (C) 26. Hagelberg A. 13. Hoiby J. 6. Marigliano C. 21. Navassardian E. 17. Olsson W. 8. Oluwayemi M. 3. Parleholt A. 38. Steen L.	1. Franck O. (G) 12. Aras U. (C) 27. Axelsson Ch. 7. Backstrom J. 17. Danho J. 19. Ennart L. 9. Grauberg K. 6. Kack O. 24. Karlsson E. 11. Nkubiri S. 5. Zeberga J.
Substitutes
14. Buisson B. 11. Faustini R. 4. Fredriksson L. 7. Qassem M. 19. Rolandsson N. (G) 12. Sandstad A. 22. Tigerholm V.	33. Ajdarevic A. 35. Blumenthal V. (G) 20. Ehigiator Ch. 2. Johansson L. 16. Josefsberg N. 14. Rosenquist F. 25. Tornstrom A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Olsson W. ↓, Sandstad A. ↑,
48', Karlsson E. 🟨,
61', Karlsson E. ↓, Josefsberg N. ↑,
61', Dukhan W. ↓, Tigerholm V. ↑,
66', Parleholt A. ↓, Fredriksson L. ↑,
73', Kack O. ↓, Johansson L. ↑,
73', Nkubiri S. ↓, Rosenquist F. ↑,
76', Danho J. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 6th and 13th in the Division 1 ~ Relegation (Promotion ~ Playoffs).

FBK Karlstad has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Sollentuna have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this matchup, FBK Karlstad is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, FBK Karlstad has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:4 (averaging 1.7:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for FBK Karlstad against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FBK Karlstad	25	12	7	6	41:35	6	43
13	Sollentuna	25	5	9	11	24:36	-12	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBK Karlstad
Swedish Division 1 Norra
16.09.26	Karlstad - FBK Karlstad	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	FBK Karlstad - Vasalund	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Järfälla - FBK Karlstad	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	FBK Karlstad - Piteå	4:3 ✺
23.08.26	Arlanda - FBK Karlstad	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWWWL
- Sollentuna FK
Swedish Division 1 Norra
16.09.26	Sollentuna - Enköping	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Hammarby TFF - Sollentuna	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Sollentuna - Gefle	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	AFC Eskilstuna - Sollentuna	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Sollentuna - Karlstad	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
18.06.26	Sollentuna - FBK Karlstad	0:2
17.08.24	FBK Karlstad - Sollentuna	1:2
20.04.24	Sollentuna - FBK Karlstad	2:2

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