Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 25

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Örsholmens IP (Karlstad)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	FBK Karlstad		AFC Eskilstuna

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.40	2.75
	2.55	3.45	2.38
	2.64	3.89	2.34
	2.24	3.76	2.79	Watch
	2.55	3.85	2.25
	2.38	3.82	2.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.35)	3.7 ↑ (3.63)	2.52 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FBK Karlstad
38.2%

Draw
25%

AFC Eskilstuna
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

24.9%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

24.8%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FBK Karlstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

AFC Eskilstuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBK Karlstad than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Eskilstuna than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

FBK Karlstad - AFC Eskilstuna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Johansson V. (G) 18. Forsberg E. 4. Fredriksson L. 26. Hagelberg A. 13. Hoiby J. 6. Marigliano C. 21. Navassardian E. 17. Olsson W. 8. Oluwayemi M. 38. Steen L. 22. Tigerholm V.	1. Dyplin K. (G) 8. Ahmed I. 6. Blomdahl O. 30. Cherif Fofana I. 9. Flodkvist A. 17. Mahari E. 2. Mahmoud L. 19. Mazalovic A. 5. Parallangaj T. 55. Rydh M. 16. Skoldqvist S.
Substitutes
14. Buisson B. 1. Dahlberg K. V. (G) 15. Dukhan W. 3. Parleholt A. 7. Qassem M. 12. Sandstad A.	99. Azizovic A. 11. Bjorkman R. 10. Chabo E. 7. Hanson L. 68. Rogic F. 37. Sundman E. (G) 24. Zhuravlev D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Cherif Fofana I. ⚽,
12', 0 - 2, Parallangaj T. ⚽, Ahmed I. (A),
29', Parallangaj T. 🟨,
34', 1 - 2, Navassardian E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Olsson W. ↓, Sandstad A. ↑,
71', Mahari E. ↓, Chabo E. ↑,
71', Navassardian E. ↓, Buisson B. ↑,
71', Flodkvist A. ↓, Bjorkman R. ↑,
75', 2 - 2, Steen L. ⚽, Oluwayemi M. (A),
75', Blomdahl O. ↓, Rogic F. ↑,
84', Tigerholm V. 🟨,
89', Rydh M. ↓, Zhuravlev D. ↑,
89', Ahmed I. ↓, Azizovic A. ↑,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 5th and 2nd in the Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation: )).

Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, FBK Karlstad has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:2 (averaging 2.3:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for FBK Karlstad against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	AFC Eskilstuna	25	14	5	6	47:34	13	47
5	FBK Karlstad	25	12	7	6	41:35	6	43

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBK Karlstad
Swedish Division 1 Norra
27.09.26	Umeå - FBK Karlstad	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	FBK Karlstad - Sollentuna	0:0 ✺
16.09.26	Karlstad - FBK Karlstad	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	FBK Karlstad - Vasalund	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Järfälla - FBK Karlstad	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTTWW
- AFC Eskilstuna
Swedish Division 1 Norra
26.09.26	Järfälla - AFC Eskilstuna	2:4 ✺
20.09.26	AFC Eskilstuna - Gefle	0:1 ✺
17.09.26	Assyriska Föreningen - AFC Eskilstuna	2:5 ✺
13.09.26	AFC Eskilstuna - Piteå	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Karlstad - AFC Eskilstuna	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
02.05.26	AFC Eskilstuna - FBK Karlstad	0:2
10.08.24	FBK Karlstad - AFC Eskilstuna	3:0
15.06.24	AFC Eskilstuna - FBK Karlstad	2:2

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