Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 22

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Sola Arena (Karlstad)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Karlstad		FBK Karlstad

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.5	3.55
	1.86	3.65	3.67
	1.87	3.77	3.71	Watch
	1.79	3.55	3.55
	1.77	3.55	3.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.71)	3.6 ↓ (3.63)	3.67 ↓ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlstad
49.9%

Draw
25.3%

FBK Karlstad
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

25%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

26.3%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

FBK Karlstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlstad than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karlstad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBK Karlstad than the current prediction. (-4%)

Karlstad - FBK Karlstad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Karlsson M. (G) 8. Bark A. 2. Beko S. 7. Bellman H. 21. Gustafsson K. 14. Hook I. 22. Kack Ofordu K. 12. Miguel W. 19. Nilsson King E. (C) 26. Tagoe B. 6. Zurmati S.	20. Johansson V. (G) 18. Forsberg E. (C) 4. Fredriksson L. 26. Hagelberg A. 13. Hoiby J. 6. Marigliano C. 21. Navassardian E. 8. Oluwayemi M. 12. Sandstad A. 38. Steen L. 22. Tigerholm V.
Substitutes
20. Andersson Gards N. 11. Bengtsson J. 17. Jatta N. 27. Kocys T. (G) 15. Maasland L. 16. Modou F. 24. Nfansu D.	14. Buisson B. 15. Dukhan W. 11. Faustini R. 9. Johansson Bahar F. 17. Olsson W. 3. Parleholt A. 19. Rolandsson N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Marigliano C. 🟨,
37', Tagoe B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Gustafsson K. 🟨,
59', Miguel W. ↓, Maasland L. ↑,
59', Gustafsson K. ↓, Bengtsson J. ↑,
65', Oluwayemi M. ↓, Dukhan W. ↑,
85', Kack Ofordu K. ↓, Modou F. ↑,
90+4', Nfansu D. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karlstad won 3.

Karlstad has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

FBK Karlstad is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Karlstad is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Karlstad won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:6. (average 2.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Karlstad won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FBK Karlstad	25	12	7	6	41:35	6	43
7	Karlstad	25	11	8	6	37:25	12	41

Last Results with these Odds

Karlstad - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 53%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Karlstad
Swedish Division 1 Norra
12.09.26	Stocksund - Karlstad	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Karlstad - AFC Eskilstuna	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Gefle - Karlstad	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Sollentuna - Karlstad	2:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
18.08.26	Karlstad - Sandviken	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- FBK Karlstad
Swedish Division 1 Norra
12.09.26	FBK Karlstad - Vasalund	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Järfälla - FBK Karlstad	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	FBK Karlstad - Piteå	4:3 ✺
23.08.26	Arlanda - FBK Karlstad	5:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
19.08.26	FBK Karlstad - Sundsvall	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
05.06.26	FBK Karlstad - Karlstad	2:3
08.09.24	FBK Karlstad - Karlstad	1:1
31.05.24	Karlstad - FBK Karlstad	1:2
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
15.09.18	Karlstad - FBK Karlstad	6:1
25.05.18	FBK Karlstad - Karlstad	0:2
30.06.17	FBK Karlstad - Karlstad	0:3
17.04.17	Karlstad - FBK Karlstad	2:0

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