Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: Premier League - Round 22

Date: 16 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Astana Arena (Astana)

Referee: Izmailov D. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Sport+
World	Onefootball app


	Astana		Shakhter Karagandy

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.15	7	12.5
	1.14	7	17	Watch
	1.12	7.47	16.86
	1.22	5.93	10.02	Watch
	1.08	7.5	19
	1.15	7.6	15.5
	1.14	7	17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↓ (1.24)	7.07 ↑ (5.48)	15.41 ↑ (13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astana
80.9%

Draw
13.1%

Shakhter Karagandy
6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.7%

17.1%

7.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Astana's performance.

Shakhter Karagandy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Astana - Shakhter Karagandy Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Astana will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Shakhter Karagandy will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Astana: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Condric J. (G) 2. Bartolec K. 5. Kazukolovas K. 45. Amanovic A. 4. Bystrov M. 10. Tomasov M. (C) 8. Kuat I. 19. Osei B. 28. Camara O. 77. Gripshi N. 9. Geoffrey C.	40. Tsuprikov E. (G) 4. Ryzhuk D. 33. Adams L. 5. Stamenkovic F. 16. Kybyray Y. 17. Lisakovich D. 44. Tyulyubay A. 21. Ilic J. 60. Campo F. 9. Tattybaev A. 10. Ashortia I.
Substitutes
11. Ahanonu N. F. 21. Astanov E. 72. Basmanov S. 15. Beysebekov A. 27. Dosmagambetov T. 3. Kalaica B. 81. Karimov R. 22. Marochkin A. 74. Seysen M. (G) 6. Vorogovskiy Y. 55. Zarutskiy A. (G)	11. Abdulla A. 18. Altynkhan A. 97. Djokic M. 7. Drachenko M. 95. Karpikov D. (G) 19. Kozlov E. 76. Loshkarev V. (G) 68. Migunov A. 8. Nazymkhanov A. 6. Nikolic M. 23. Tutkyshev R. 27. Zubaydilda S.
Coaches
Babayan G.	Emeljanov K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', Campo F. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Tomasov M. ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Geoffrey C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 3 - 0, Gripshi N. ⚽,
58', Geoffrey C. ↓, Karimov R. ↑,
58', Gripshi N. ↓, Astanov E. ↑,
68', Tattybaev A. ↓, Djokic M. ↑,
69', Osei B. 🟨,
77', Ashortia I. ↓, Kozlov E. ↑,
77', Lisakovich D. ↓, Abdulla A. ↑,
78', Campo F. ↓, Migunov A. ↑,
78', Amanovic A. ↓, Marochkin A. ↑,
83', Tomasov M. ↓, Basmanov S. ↑,
83', Kuat I. ↓, Beysebekov A. ↑,
83', Ilic J. ↓, Altynkhan A. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 5 and 13 in the zone Relegation ~ First Division).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Astana won 3.

Astana in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Shakhter Karagandy has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Shakhter Karagandy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Astana is absolute favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Astana won 11 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 38:24 (average 1.9:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Astana won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21:11 (average 2.3:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Astana
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.10.24	Astana - Bačka Topola	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
29.09.24	Zhenis - Astana	1:1 ✺
Kazakh League Cup
25.09.24	Astana - Yelimay Semey	1:0 penalties ✺
Kazakh Premier League
22.09.24	Ordabasy - Astana	2:4 ✺
18.09.24	Kaisar - Astana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTWWW
- Shakhter Karagandy
Kazakh Premier League
28.09.24	Tobol Kostanay - Shakhter Karagandy	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Shakhter Karagandy - Yelimay Semey	1:2 ✺
14.09.24	Turan Turkistan - Shakhter Karagandy	2:1 ✺
01.09.24	Shakhter Karagandy - Zhenis	0:0 ✺
24.08.24	Atyrau - Shakhter Karagandy	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
07.04.24	Shakhter Karagandy - Astana	1:0
29.10.23	Shakhter Karagandy - Astana	1:1
04.03.23	Astana - Shakhter Karagandy	2:1
06.11.22	Shakhter Karagandy - Astana	2:3
Kazakh Cup
14.08.22	Shakhter Karagandy - Astana	1:7
15.07.22	Astana - Shakhter Karagandy	5:2
Kazakh Premier League
05.03.22	Astana - Shakhter Karagandy	0:0

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