Match Info

First League - Round 11

Date: 26 June 2026, Friday


	Batyr Ekibastuz		Astana 2

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.5	2.68
	2.08	3.75	2.48
	4.18	3.76	1.72	Watch
	2.2	3.45	2.6
	2.25	3.3	2.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.12)	3.55 ↓ (3.75)	2.42 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Batyr Ekibastuz
35.8%

Draw
26%

Astana 2
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

24%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

25.6%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Batyr Ekibastuz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Batyr Ekibastuz's form might have worsened.

Astana 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Batyr Ekibastuz than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Batyr Ekibastuz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana 2 than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Astana 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Sagyn A. ⚽, Amangeldinov R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 1 - 1, Al Khadzh N. ⚽, Kushkumbayev D. (A),
56', Sagyn A. 🟥,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 7).

In recent matches, Batyr has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Astana 2 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Batyr may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Batyr won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Batyr won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FC Astana 2	23	10	3	10	42:43	-1	33
9	FC Batyr	23	7	5	11	31:53	-22	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Batyr Ekibastuz
Kazakh First League
18.06.26	Tobol 2 - Batyr Ekibastuz	3:3 ✺
12.06.26	Batyr Ekibastuz - Arys	1:1 ✺
27.05.26	Turan Turkistan - Batyr Ekibastuz	4:0 ✺
21.05.26	Batyr Ekibastuz - Akademiya Ontustik	2:2 ✺
15.05.26	Jaiyq - Batyr Ekibastuz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTLTW
- FC Astana 2
Kazakh First League
18.06.26	Astana 2 - Kairat 2	2:3 ✺
11.06.26	Taraz - Astana 2	1:2 ✺
26.05.26	Astana 2 - Khan Tengri	2:1 ✺
21.05.26	Astana 2 - Shakhter Karagandy	4:3 ✺
14.05.26	Tobol 2 - Astana 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 40.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
27.07.23	Batyr Ekibastuz - Astana 2	2:3
21.04.23	Astana 2 - Batyr Ekibastuz	0:2
16.07.22	Astana 2 - Batyr Ekibastuz	3:0

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