Match Info

Date: 12 August 2020, Wednesday


	Atalanta		Paris Saint-Germain

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.7	2.05
	3.5	3.6	2.05
	3.5	3.7	2.12
	3.3	3.6	2.09
	3.42	3.7	2.14
	3.5	3.6	2.05
	3.66	3.74	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (3.38)	3.66 ↓ (3.85)	2.1 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta
27.8%

Draw
26.3%

Paris Saint-Germain
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

24.9%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

20.1%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paris Saint-Germain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.1%	10.7%	74.2%

Atalanta - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Users Predictions: 225 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 34 - 15.1%). PSG will win (votes: 167 - 74.2%). It will Tie (votes: 24 - 10.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 68.5% – 79.9%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Neutral location - Estádio da Luz. No spectators.

Atalanta was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, has a chance of semis (37%), has a chance of final (17%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

PSG was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, has a good chance of semis (63%), has a chance of final (36%), has a small chance of win league (14%).

Recent matches Atalanta is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

PSG is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

PSG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently PSG have a series of home games.

PSG will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
01.08.20	Atalanta - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
28.07.20	Parma - Atalanta	1:2 ✺
24.07.20	Milan - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
21.07.20	Atalanta - Bologna	1:0 ✺
18.07.20	Verona - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWTWT
- Paris Saint-Germain
Club Friendly
05.08.20	Paris Saint-Germain - Sochaux	1:0 ✺
French Coupe de la Ligue
31.07.20	Paris Saint-Germain - Lyon	1:0 penalties ✺
Coupe De France
24.07.20	Paris Saint-Germain - Saint-Étienne	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.07.20	Paris Saint-Germain - Celtic	4:0 ✺
17.07.20	Paris Saint-Germain - Beveren	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWW

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