Match Info

Serie A - Round 17

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday

Location: New Balance Arena (Bergamo)

Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Caze TV, Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic, Go3 Sport Open Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1, Cosmote Sport 4K
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 3
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	Discovery+, TV12, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab


	Atalanta		Inter Milan

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.6	2	Watch
	3.55	3.55	2.02	Watch
	3.13	3.65	2.29
	3.76	3.76	2	Watch
	3.6	3.3	1.95
	3.84	3.64	2.08
	3.66	3.6	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (3.13)	3.59 ↑ (3.56)	2.05 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta
26.6%

Draw
26.7%

Inter Milan
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

26.7%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

26.8%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Atalanta - Inter Milan Predictions

Users Predictions: 111 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 14 - 12.6%). Inter will win (votes: 83 - 74.8%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 12.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Inter: 66.7% – 82.9%. The data is statistically significant.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Atalanta (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Inter (2.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Atalanta (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Atalanta (4.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Inter Milan will win (41 of 50 users predict this - 82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 54 Selected Experts predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 5 - 9.3%). Inter (votes: 42 - 77.8%). Tie (votes: 7 - 13%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 19. Djimsiti B. 4. Hien I. 23. Kolasinac S. 77. Zappacosta D. 15. De Roon M. (C) 13. Ederson 59. Zalewski N. 17. De Ketelaere C. 8. Pasalic M. 9. Scamacca G.	1. Sommer Y. (G) 31. Bisseck Y. 25. Akanji M. 95. Bastoni A. 11. Luis Henrique 23. Barella N. 20. Calhanoglu H. 7. Zielinski P. 32. Dimarco F. 9. Thuram M. 10. Martinez L. (C)
Substitutes
69. Ahanor H. 47. Bernasconi L. 44. Brescianini M. 43. Comi P. 90. Krstovic N. 70. Maldini D. 6. Musah Y. 31. Rossi F. (G) 10. Samardzic L. 42. Scalvini G. 57. Sportiello M. (G) 7. Sulemana K.	30. Carlos Augusto 50. Cinquegrano S. 43. Cocchi M. 6. de Vrij S. 17. Diouf A. 94. Esposito F. 16. Frattesi D. 13. Martinez J. (G) 22. Mkhitaryan H. 47. Spinacce M. 8. Sucic P. 60. Taho A. (G)
Coaches
Palladino R.	Chivu C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Kolasinac S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Zappacosta D. ↓, Musah Y. ↑,
58', Pasalic M. ↓, Sulemana K. ↑,
64', Thuram M. ↓, Esposito F. ↑,
65', Zalewski N. ↓, Bernasconi L. ↑,
65', 0 - 1, Martinez L. ⚽, Esposito F. (A),
75', Kolasinac S. ↓, Samardzic L. ↑,
76', Barella N. ↓, Mkhitaryan H. ↑,
76', Dimarco F. ↓, Carlos Augusto ↑,
77', Bastoni A. 🟨,
80', Sulemana K. 🟨,
83', Martinez L. ↓, Diouf A. ↑,
84', Zielinski P. ↓, Frattesi D. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 0.

Atalanta is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Inter has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Atalanta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Inter might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Atalanta: Bakker M. (Knee Injury) Bellanova R. (Injury) Kossounou O. (International duty) Lookman A. (International duty)

There will not play in Inter: Acerbi F. (Thigh Injury) Bonny A. (Knee Injury) Dumfries D. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Atalanta: Djimsiti B. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Inter: Darmian M. (Calf Injury) Di Gennaro R. (Wrist Injury) Palacios T. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:39. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Atalanta won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.1:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Inter Milan - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.98%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
21.12.25	Genoa - Atalanta	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Atalanta - Cagliari	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.12.25	Atalanta - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
06.12.25	Verona - Atalanta	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
03.12.25	Atalanta - Genoa	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWLW
- Inter Milan
Italian Super Cup
19.12.25	Bologna - Inter Milan	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
14.12.25	Genoa - Inter Milan	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.12.25	Inter Milan - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
06.12.25	Inter Milan - Como	4:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
03.12.25	Inter Milan - Venezia	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
16.03.25	Atalanta - Inter Milan	0:2
Italian Super Cup
02.01.25	Inter Milan - Atalanta	2:0
Italian Serie A
30.08.24	Inter Milan - Atalanta	4:0
28.02.24	Inter Milan - Atalanta	4:0
04.11.23	Atalanta - Inter Milan	1:2
27.05.23	Inter Milan - Atalanta	3:2
Coppa Italia
31.01.23	Inter Milan - Atalanta	1:0

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