Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 8

Date: 26 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Parc des Princes (Paris) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Maximo 360
Albania	20:30	SuperSport 3
Argentina	16:30	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	23:30	Fast Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Austria	20:30	DAZN 2, DAZN
Belgium	20:30	DAZN 2
Bolivia	15:30	ESPN 2, ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:30	Arena Sport 4P
Brazil	16:30	Xsports
Bulgaria	21:30	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	03:30	Migu
Colombia	14:30	ESPN 2
Croatia	20:30	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:30	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
Czech Republic	20:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	20:30	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Ecuador	14:30	ESPN 2, ESPN
Estonia	21:30	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic
Finland	21:30	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	20:30	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	23:30	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	20:30	DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	03:30	beIN Sports 3
India	01:00	Star Sports Select 2
Indonesia	02:30	Vidio
Iran	23:00	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	21:30	Sport 5 Max
Italy	20:30	Ligue 1+
Japan	04:30	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	01:30	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	20:30	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 5
Lithuania	21:30	Go3 Extra Sports
Maldives	00:30	Medianet
Mexico	13:30	FOX One
Netherlands	20:30	Viaplay
Nigeria	20:30	Supersport Maximo 2
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	20:30	Arena Premium 3
Norway	20:30	Viaplay
Paraguay	16:30	ESPN 2
Peru	14:30	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Poland	20:30	Eleven Sports 3
Romania	21:30	Voyo
Serbia	20:30	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	20:30	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	20:30	Arena Sport 1
South Korea	04:30	Coupang Play
Spain	20:30	DAZN Espana
Suriname	16:30	SCCN
Sweden	20:30	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	20:30	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Digiturk
Ukraine	21:30	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:30	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	16:30	Disney+
Usa	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
Venezuela	15:30	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN, Inter
International	19:30	OneFootball TV


	Paris Saint-Germain		Lyon

	1	X	2
	1.30	5.50	9.00	Watch
	1.32	6.00	7.50
	1.30	5.50	8.50	Watch
	1.32	6.00	9.49
	1.4	5.6	7.1	Watch
	1.30	5.90	9.40
	1.35	6.09	9.00	Watch
	1.31	6.40	8.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.39)	5.87 ↑ (5.5)	8.55 ↑ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris Saint-Germain
72.4%

Draw
16.3%

Lyon
11.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.9%

17.2%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

16.4%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.3%	8.8%	5.9%

Paris Saint Germain - Lyon Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - PSG (1.84) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (1.61) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3.25 - over (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.62) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Paris Saint-Germain will win (29 of 34 users predict this - 85.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.38% – 97.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paris Saint-Germain will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. PSG (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Lyon (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Safonov M. (G) 2. Hakimi A. (C) 6. Zabarnyi I. 51. Pacho W. 33. Zaire-Emery W. 87. Neves J. 17. Vitinha 8. Ruiz F. 11. Akliouche M. 9. Torres F. 14. Doue D.	1. Greif D. (G) 13. Athekame Z. 20. Bacher F. 19. Niakhate M. 16. Abner Vinicius 6. Tessmann T. 23. Morton T. 8. Tolisso C. (C) 7. Nuamah E. 18. Merah K. 24. Duranville J.
Substitutes
4. Beraldo L. 42. Boly D. 30. Chevalier L. (G) 12. Digne L. 27. Fernandez D. 22. Godts M. 21. Hernandez L. 24. Mayulu S. 47. Ndjantou Q.	2. Bidstrup M. 26. Boudache K. 40. Descamps R. (G) 44. Hamdani A. 45. Himbert R. 85. Kamara N. 21. Kluivert R. 22. Mata C. 99. Nartey N.
Coaches
Luis Enrique	Fonseca P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Vitinha 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', Akliouche M. 🟨,
57', Neves J. ↓, Godts M. ↑,
65', Zaire-Emery W. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
65', Torres F. ↓, Mayulu S. ↑,
72', 1 - 0, Mayulu S. ⚽, Godts M. (A),
74', Merah K. 🟨,
76', Merah K. ↓, Nartey N. ↑,
76', Tolisso C. ↓, Kluivert R. ↑,
81', Akliouche M. ↓, Ndjantou Q. ↑,
81', Doue D. ↓, Beraldo L. ↑,
81', Duranville J. ↓, Boudache K. ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Godts M. ⚽, Ndjantou Q. (A),
90+1', Morton T. ↓, Himbert R. ↑,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Champions League League phase and 1st in the Promotion - Champions League League phase).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSG won 4.

PSG has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Lyon has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

PSG holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

Our forecast points to a victory for PSG in today's match, at odds of 1.43.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, PSG has recorded 14 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 46:23 (averaging 2.3:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for PSG against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 20:9 goals (averaging 2.2:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	PSG	8	5	2	1	16:9	7	17
5	Lyon	8	4	2	2	13:7	6	14

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

PSG: 79.14% Lyon: 2.58%

Last Results with these Odds

Paris Saint-Germain - the odds 1.39 are the expected chance of winning is 67.87%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris Saint-Germain
UEFA Champions League
20.10.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Barcelona	4:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.10.26	Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.10.26	Manchester City - Paris Saint-Germain	2:4 ✺
French Ligue 1
10.10.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Le Mans	3:1 ✺
20.09.26	Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWW
- Olympique Lyon
UEFA Europa League
22.10.26	Hoffenheim - Lyon	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
18.10.26	Lyon - Nice	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Lyon - Crystal Palace	3:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
09.10.26	Lens - Lyon	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Lyon - Rennes	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
19.04.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Lyon	1:2
09.11.25	Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain	2:3
23.02.25	Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain	2:3
15.12.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Lyon	3:1
Coupe De France
25.05.24	Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2
French Ligue 1
21.04.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Lyon	4:1
03.09.23	Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain	1:4

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