Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Gewiss Stadium (Bergamo)

Referee: De Burgos R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now
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Uruguay	Disney+
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Vietnam	ON Plus


	Atalanta		Slavia Prague

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.5	9
	1.3	5.7	11
	1.33	5.61	9.44
	1.33	5.77	9.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.52)	5.65 ↑ (4.8)	9.72 ↑ (5.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta
73.1%

Draw
17%

Slavia Prague
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

19.8%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

19.4%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atalanta's performance.

Slavia Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Slavia Prague might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atalanta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slavia Prague than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Slavia Prague could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.6%	6.3%	5.1%

Atalanta - Slavia Prague Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Atalanta (1.50) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +1.25 - Slavia Prague (2.04) (votes: 6 - 85.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Atalanta will win (70 of 79 users predict this - 88.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.6% – 95.62%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atalanta will win (24 of 28 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 38 Selected Experts predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 28 - 73.7%). Slavia Prague (votes: 7 - 18.4%). Tie (votes: 3 - 7.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 3. Kossounou O. 4. Hien I. 19. Djimsiti B. 77. Zappacosta D. 15. De Roon M. (C) 13. Ederson 47. Bernasconi L. 17. De Ketelaere C. 90. Krstovic N. 11. Lookman A.	35. Markovic J. (G) 18. Boril J. (C) 27. Vlcek T. 4. Zima D. 12. Mbodji Y. 16. Moses D. 10. Zafeiris C. 19. Dorley O. 9. Kusej V. 25. Chory T. 17. Provod L.
Substitutes
69. Ahanor H. 16. Bellanova R. 44. Brescianini M. 70. Maldini D. 6. Musah Y. 8. Pasalic M. 31. Rossi F. (G) 10. Samardzic L. 9. Scamacca G. 57. Sportiello M. (G) 7. Sulemana K. 59. Zalewski N.	2. Chaloupek S. 7. Cham M. 13. Chytil M. 8. Hashioka D. 43. Jelinek T. 45. Kovar M. 31. Prekop E. 40. Rezek A. (G) 23. Sadilek M. 11. Sanyang Y. 53. Sloncik S. 36. Stanek J. (G)
Coaches
Juric I.	Trpisovsky J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Bernasconi L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bernasconi L. ↓, Zalewski N. ↑,
51', De Roon M. 🟨,
61', Mbodji Y. ↓, Sadilek M. ↑,
62', Krstovic N. ↓, Scamacca G. ↑,
62', Lookman A. ↓, Sulemana K. ↑,
68', Moses D. ↓, Chaloupek S. ↑,
74', Zappacosta D. ↓, Bellanova R. ↑,
87', Boril J. 🟨,
88', Vlcek T. ↓, Sanyang Y. ↑,
88', Kusej V. ↓, Prekop E. ↑,
90+1', De Ketelaere C. ↓, Samardzic L. ↑,
90+4', Prekop E. 🟨,
90+4', Zalewski N. 🟨,

Preview

Atalanta is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Slavia Prague has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Slavia Prague may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Atalanta is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Atalanta: Bakker M. (Knee Injury) Kolasinac S. (Knee Injury) Scalvini G. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Slavia Prague: Doudera D. (Muscle Injury) Fully E. (Inactive) Holes T. (Knee Injury) Javorcek D. (Knee Injury) Kolar O. (Inactive) Ogbu I. (Health problems) Sevcik P. (Knee Injury) Vorlicky L. (Inactive) Zmrzly O. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Slavia Prague: Schranz I. (Muscle Injury) Stanek J. (Health problems)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
19.10.25	Atalanta - Lazio	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Atalanta - Como	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.09.25	Atalanta - Club Brugge	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
27.09.25	Juventus - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Torino - Atalanta	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTWTW
- SK Slavia Prague
Czech 1 Liga
18.10.25	Slavia Prague - Zlín	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Sparta Prague - Slavia Prague	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.09.25	Inter Milan - Slavia Prague	3:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
26.09.25	Slavia Prague - Dukla Prague	2:0 ✺
Czech Cup
23.09.25	Sokol Brozany - Slavia Prague	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TTLWW

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