Match Info

Coppa Italia - Semi-finals

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: New Balance Arena (Bergamo)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Atalanta		Lazio

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.6	5	Watch
	1.75	3.7	4.7	Watch
	1.77	3.75	5.3
	1.81	3.77	4.7	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.5
	1.82	3.73	4.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.74)	3.66 ↓ (3.8)	4.81 ↑ (4.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta
54.1%

Draw
26.1%

Lazio
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

25%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

27.7%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atalanta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Atalanta - Lazio Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Lazio will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 42. Scalvini G. 19. Djimsiti B. 23. Kolasinac S. 77. Zappacosta D. 15. De Roon M. (C) 13. Ederson 47. Bernasconi L. 17. De Ketelaere C. 59. Zalewski N. 90. Krstovic N.	40. Motta E. (G) 77. Marusic A. 34. Gila M. 13. Romagnoli A. 17. Tavares N. 26. Basic T. 4. Patric 24. Taylor K. 22. Cancellieri M. 14. Noslin T. 10. Zaccagni M. (C)
Substitutes
69. Ahanor H. 5. Bakker M. 16. Bellanova R. 3. Kossounou O. 6. Musah Y. 40. Obric R. 50. Pardel P. (G) 8. Pasalic M. 18. Raspadori G. 10. Samardzic L. 9. Scamacca G. 57. Sportiello M. (G) 7. Sulemana K.	21. Belahyane R. 32. Cataldi D. 7. Dele-Bashiru F. 19. Dia B. 99. Giacomone G. (G) 23. Hysaj E. 18. Isaksen G. 29. Lazzari M. 27. Maldini D. 72. Pannozzo N. (G) 9. Pedro 3. Pellegrini Lu. 25. Provstgaard O. 28. Przyborek A. 20. Ratkov P.
Coaches
Palladino R.	Sarri M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Kolasinac S. 🟨,
37', Cancellieri M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Bernasconi L. ↓, Bellanova R. ↑,
57', Palladino R. 🟨,
66', Cancellieri M. ↓, Isaksen G. ↑,
67', Marusic A. ↓, Lazzari M. ↑,
71', Zalewski N. ↓, Raspadori G. ↑,
71', Kolasinac S. ↓, Kossounou O. ↑,
71', De Roon M. ↓, Pasalic M. ↑,
73', Sarri M. 🟨,
77', Basic T. ↓, Dele-Bashiru F. ↑,
77', Gila M. ↓, Provstgaard O. ↑,
84', Patric ↓, Cataldi D. ↑,
84', 0 - 1, Romagnoli A. ⚽, Zaccagni M. (A),
86', 1 - 1, Pasalic M. ⚽, Krstovic N. (A),
90', Krstovic N. ↓, Scamacca G. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
94', Scalvini G. ↓, Ahanor H. ↑,
103', Zaccagni M. ↓, Pedro ↑,
117', Scamacca G. 🟨,
120', Lazzari M. 🟨,
Penalties (1 - 2)
1, Raspadori G. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Tavares N. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Scamacca G. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Cataldi D. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Zappacosta D. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Isaksen G. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Pasalic M. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Taylor K. (Penalty Awarded),
5, De Ketelaere C. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

First leg result: 2-2. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 1.

Atalanta has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lazio is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Atalanta is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Lazio: Gigot S. (Ankle Injury) Provedel I. (Shoulder Injury) Rovella N. (Broken collarbone)

There are questionable in Atalanta: Hien I. (Thigh Injury) Sulemana K. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Lazio: Marusic A. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:27. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Atalanta won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
18.04.26	Roma - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Atalanta - Juventus	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Lecce - Atalanta	0:3 ✺
22.03.26	Atalanta - Verona	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.03.26	Bayern Munich - Atalanta	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLWWL
- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
18.04.26	Napoli - Lazio	0:2 ✺
13.04.26	Fiorentina - Lazio	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Lazio - Parma	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Bologna - Lazio	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Lazio - Milan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
04.03.26	Lazio - Atalanta	2:2
Italian Serie A
14.02.26	Lazio - Atalanta	0:2
19.10.25	Atalanta - Lazio	0:0
06.04.25	Atalanta - Lazio	0:1
28.12.24	Lazio - Atalanta	1:1
04.02.24	Atalanta - Lazio	3:1
08.10.23	Lazio - Atalanta	3:2

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