Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 8

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Caravaggio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Atalanta U23		Foggia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	4.2	5.5
	1.45	4.25	6.1
	1.47	4.32	6.43
	2.69	1.69	9.11	Watch
	1.42	4.2	6.42	Watch
	1.45	4.2	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.38)	3.81 ↓ (4.4)	6.56 ↓ (6.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta U23
59.3%

Draw
25.7%

Foggia
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

20.7%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

19.8%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atalanta U23's form might have worsened.

Foggia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atalanta U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Atalanta U23 - Foggia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Vismara P. (G) 18. Guerini A. 6. Comi P. 37. Navarro A. 66. Bergonzi F. (C) 47. Levak S. 7. Manzoni A. 3. Simonetto F. 99. Vavassori D. 10. Cortinovis A. 94. Camara H.	27. Borbei A. (G) 20. Buttaro A. 6. Minelli A. 77. Olivieri E. 24. Valietti F. 18. Oliva M. 47. Pazienza O. 14. Panico C. 92. Winkelmann T. 17. Sylla Y. 10. Ilicic M.
Substitutes
14. Cisse M. 40. Colombo M. 68. Fiogbe C. 82. Lonardo E. 80. Mencaraglia F. 9. Misitano G. 74. Papadopoulos C. 2. Plaia M. 22. Sassi J. (G) 25. Steffanoni F. 23. Tornaghi P. 17. Torriani A. (G)	26. Agnelli G. 9. Bevilacqua M. 40. Castaldi G. 8. Garofalo V. 22. Magro F. (G) 54. Pellegrino G. 1. Perucchini F. (G) 25. Staver C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', Manzoni A. 🟨,
30', Winkelmann T. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Cortinovis A. ⚽,
43', Pazienza O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Camara H. ↓, Misitano G. ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Ilicic M. ⚽,
63', Bergonzi F. ↓, Mencaraglia F. ↑,
68', Ilicic M. ↓, Pellegrino G. ↑,
78', Valietti F. ↓, Garofalo V. ↑,
88', Manzoni A. ↓, Steffanoni F. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 14).

Atalanta U23 is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Foggia has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Atalanta U23 is the undisputed favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta U23
Italian Serie C Group C
28.09.25	Potenza - Atalanta U23	1:0 ✺
24.09.25	Atalanta U23 - Crotone	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Benevento - Atalanta U23	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Salernitana - Atalanta U23	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Atalanta U23 - Altamura	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- Foggia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
29.09.25	Picerno - Foggia	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Foggia - Casertana	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Audace Cerignola - Foggia	0:0 ✺
12.09.25	Foggia - Latina	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Giugliano - Foggia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTTTL

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