Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 7

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday

Location: Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio (Picerno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	RaiPlay, RAI Sport, SKY Go Italia
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
World	FIFA+


	Picerno		Foggia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.25	4.15
	1.8	3.34	4.72
	1.85	3.60	3.90	Watch
	1.82	3.2	4.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.88)	3.35 ↓ (3.4)	4.25 ↑ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Picerno
50.7%

Draw
27.6%

Foggia
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

27.5%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

27.7%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Picerno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Foggia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Picerno - Foggia Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Picerno will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Foggia will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Picerno: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Picerno (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Summa E. (G) 21. Salvo G. 4. Frison F. 23. Granata A. 63. Pistolesi F. 6. Marino A. 30. Bianchi S. 11. Esposito E. 9. Santarcangelo A. 33. Bocic M. 90. Abreu L.	27. Borbei A. (G) 4. Bignami R. 6. Minelli A. 98. Rizzo F. 20. Buttaro A. 8. Garofalo V. 47. Pazienza O. 18. Oliva M. 14. Panico C. 17. Sylla Y. 11. Fossati D.
Substitutes
77. Cardoni K. 22. Cortese S. (G) 25. Djibril M. 7. Energe A. 12. Esposito A. (G) 8. Graziani V. 34. Maselli S. 2. Perri M. 70. Petito F. 99. Pugliese S. 32. Ragone V. 19. Santaniello E. 5. Veltri A.	26. Agnelli G. 9. Bevilacqua M. 40. Castaldi G. 10. Ilicic M. 22. Magro F. (G) 77. Olivieri E. 54. Pellegrino G. 1. Perucchini F. (G) 25. Staver C. 92. Winkelmann T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Buttaro A. 🟨,
18', Oliva M. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Esposito E. ⚽,
33', Bignami R. ↓, Winkelmann T. ↑,
41', Salvo G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 1 - 1, Oliva M. ⚽,
61', Santarcangelo A. ↓, Santaniello E. ↑,
61', Marino A. ↓, Maselli S. ↑,
61', Bocic M. ↓, Energe A. ↑,
62', Sylla Y. ↓, Bevilacqua M. ↑,
62', Fossati D. ↓, Ilicic M. ↑,
69', Granata A. 🟨,
72', Esposito E. 🟨,
78', Bianchi S. ↓, Pugliese S. ↑,
79', Pazienza O. ↓, Agnelli G. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Energe A. ⚽,
86', Esposito E. ↓, Petito F. ↑,
90+8', Pugliese S. 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Picerno won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Picerno could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Picerno won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Picerno won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Picerno ASD
Italian Serie C Group C
24.09.25	Picerno - Benevento	2:2 ✺
21.09.25	Potenza - Picerno	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Picerno - Casarano	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Latina - Picerno	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Picerno - Giugliano	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLLWT
- Foggia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
24.09.25	Foggia - Casertana	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Audace Cerignola - Foggia	0:0 ✺
12.09.25	Foggia - Latina	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Giugliano - Foggia	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Foggia - Sorrento	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
27.04.25	Picerno - Foggia	0:0
15.12.24	Foggia - Picerno	1:0
06.03.24	Foggia - Picerno	2:0
29.10.23	Picerno - Foggia	2:0
07.01.23	Foggia - Picerno	2:3
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.22	Foggia - Picerno	1:0 penalties
Italian Serie C Group C
12.09.22	Picerno - Foggia	3:0

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