Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 20

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Tullio Saleri (Lumezzane)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Max


	Lumezzane		Vicenza Virtus

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.5	3.6	1.58
	5.05	3.44	1.67
	5.5	3.3	1.6
	5.76	3.56	1.63	Watch
	5.75	3.5	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.51 ↓ (5.61)	3.48 (3.48)	1.62 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lumezzane
16.7%

Draw
26.4%

Vicenza Virtus
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

26.3%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

25.8%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lumezzane has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Vicenza Virtus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vicenza Virtus than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Lumezzane - Vicenza Virtus Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vicenza will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vicenza (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Drago G. (G) 23. Moscati M. 2. Deratti J. 3. Pagliari M. 70. Mancini S. 8. Rocca M. 19. Rolando M. 11. Ghillani A. 7. Ferro M. 20. Caccavo L. 21. Iori M.	16. Gagno R. (G) 14. Cuomo G. 6. Leverbe M. 27. Sandon T. 19. Tribuzzi A. 29. Zonta L. 4. Carraro M. 24. Alessio F. 32. Costa F. 11. Stuckler D. 9. Morra C.
Substitutes
12. Battagliola L. (G) 99. Belvedere F. 5. D'Agostino S. 9. Donnarumma A. 1. Filigheddu S. (G) 45. Monachello G. 95. Motta M. 6. Pogliano C. 14. Rihai A. 39. Serpa A. 31. Stivanello R.	23. Benassai F. 22. Bianchi G. (G) 28. Caferri L. 10. Capello A. 8. Cavion M. 76. Fantoni N. 13. Golin M. 12. Massolo S. (G) 26. Pellizzari G. 77. Rada A. 7. Rauti N. 44. Talarico R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Carraro M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 0 - 1, Morra C. ⚽,
69', Alessio F. ↓, Rada A. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Caccavo L. ⚽,
75', Caccavo L. 🟨,
76', Stuckler D. ↓, Rauti N. ↑,
76', Tribuzzi A. ↓, Caferri L. ↑,
82', Costa F. ↓, Benassai F. ↑,
82', Zonta L. ↓, Cavion M. ↑,
85', Ferro M. ↓, Rihai A. ↑,
85', Mancini S. ↓, Stivanello R. ↑,
85', Iori M. ↓, Donnarumma A. ↑,
90+1', Cavion M. 🟨,
90+4', Caccavo L. ↓, D'Agostino S. ↑,
90+6', Rada A. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Vicenza Virtus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Vicenza Virtus is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lumezzane won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Lumezzane won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Lumezzane	8	3	2	3	10:11	-1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lumezzane
Italian Serie C Group A
20.12.25	Virtus Verona - Lumezzane	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Lumezzane - Lecco	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Brescia - Lumezzane	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Lumezzane - Novara	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	AlbinoLeffe - Lumezzane	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TTWTW
- Vicenza Virtus
Italian Serie C Group A
21.12.25	Vicenza Virtus - Triestina	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Pergolettese - Vicenza Virtus	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Novara - Vicenza Virtus	2:2 ✺
30.11.25	Vicenza Virtus - Lecco	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Brescia - Vicenza Virtus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
24.08.25	Vicenza Virtus - Lumezzane	5:0
23.02.25	Lumezzane - Vicenza Virtus	0:1
13.10.24	Vicenza Virtus - Lumezzane	1:1
20.01.24	Lumezzane - Vicenza Virtus	2:1
17.09.23	Vicenza Virtus - Lumezzane	1:0

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