Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 27

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Romeo Menti (Vicenza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257, Sky Sport Calcio
World	FIFA+


	Vicenza Virtus		Padova

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.65	3.2
	2.4	2.82	3.43
	2.43	2.77	3.43
	2.4	2.62	3.25
	2.31	2.78	3.27
	2.41	2.55	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.52)	2.7 ↓ (2.99)	3.3 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vicenza Virtus
38.3%

Draw
33.9%

Padova
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

30.2%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

31.3%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vicenza Virtus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Padova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vicenza Virtus than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Padova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Vicenza Virtus - Padova Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Padova will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Confente A. (G) 14. Cuomo G. 6. Leverbe M. 73. Sandon T. 29. Zonta L. 10. Ronaldo 4. Carraro M. 32. Costa F. 99. Della Morte M. 11. Rolfini A. 9. Ferrari F.	1. Fortin M. (G) 31. Pirrello R. 2. Delli Carri F. 72. Faedo C. 26. Kirwan N. 8. Fusi P. 6. Crisetig L. 14. Villa L. 21. Liguori M. 7. Varas K. 20. Bortolussi M.
Substitutes
13. Beghetto A. 20. Capone C. 8. Della L. S. 76. Fantoni N. 12. Gallo E. (G) 23. Laezza G. 1. Massolo S. (G) 90. Morra C. 7. Rauti N. 5. Rossi F. 44. Talarico R.	15. Bianchi N. 92. Buonaiuto C. 17. Capelli A. 22. Carniello M. (G) 11. Cretella C. 30. Favale G. 23. Granata A. 37. Montrone A. 10. Russini S. 16. Sala A. (G) . Spagnoli A. 77. Tumiatti F. 19. Valente N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Ferrari F. ⚽,
33', Pirrello R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Crisetig L. 🟨,
62', Ronaldo 🟨,
63', Faedo C. ↓, Granata A. ↑,
63', Liguori M. ↓, Buonaiuto C. ↑,
63', Villa L. ↓, Capelli A. ↑,
65', Ronaldo ↓, Della L. S. ↑,
65', Rolfini A. ↓, Rauti N. ↑,
69', Rauti N. 🟨,
72', Ferrari F. ↓, Morra C. ↑,
75', Cuomo G. 🟨,
77', Kirwan N. ↓, Valente N. ↑,
77', Varas K. ↓, Spagnoli A. ↑,
80', Della Morte M. ↓, Talarico R. ↑,
80', Leverbe M. ↓, Laezza G. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Spagnoli A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vicenza Virtus won 2.

Vicenza Virtus is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Padova is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vicenza Virtus will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Vicenza Virtus won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1.2:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Vicenza Virtus won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vicenza Virtus
Italian Serie C Group A
09.02.25	FeralpiSalò - Vicenza Virtus	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Renate - Vicenza Virtus	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	Vicenza Virtus - Alcione	4:1 ✺
19.01.25	Pro Patria - Vicenza Virtus	0:3 ✺
12.01.25	Vicenza Virtus - AlbinoLeffe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWW
- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie C Group A
09.02.25	Padova - Pro Patria	3:1 ✺
01.02.25	Virtus Verona - Padova	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Padova - Pro Vercelli	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Alcione - Padova	0:2 ✺
12.01.25	Padova - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
06.10.24	Padova - Vicenza Virtus	1:0
25.05.24	Padova - Vicenza Virtus	0:1
22.05.24	Vicenza Virtus - Padova	2:0
06.03.24	Padova - Vicenza Virtus	1:1
29.10.23	Vicenza Virtus - Padova	1:1
08.01.23	Vicenza Virtus - Padova	1:1
10.09.22	Padova - Vicenza Virtus	2:1

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