Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 4

Date: 11 August 2024, Sunday


	Atenas Río Cuarto		Central Norte

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.8	3.4
	1.72	3.1	5
				Watch
	1.62	3.25	5.5
	1.69	3.24	5.12
	1.72	3.1	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.73)	3.1 ↑ (2.83)	4.8 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atenas Río Cuarto
51.6%

Draw
29.5%

Central Norte
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

31.9%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

32.7%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atenas Río Cuarto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atenas Río Cuarto's performance.

Central Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Central Norte might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atenas Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (-17.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atenas Río Cuarto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Central Norte could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atenas Río Cuarto - Central Norte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Quiroga F. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Blanco E. J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', 1 - 2, Lesman G. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atenas Río Cuarto
Argentinian Torneo Federal
04.08.24	Sol de América de Formosa - Atenas Río Cuarto	1:1 ✺
28.07.24	Atenas Río Cuarto - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:0 ✺
21.07.24	Sportivo Belgrano - Atenas Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
14.07.24	Huracán Las Heras - Atenas Río Cuarto	2:0 ✺
07.07.24	Atenas Río Cuarto - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TWLLW
- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Torneo Federal
04.08.24	Central Norte - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	1:0 ✺
28.07.24	General San Martín de Formosa - Central Norte	2:1 ✺
21.07.24	Central Norte - Sarmiento de La Banda	2:0 ✺
14.07.24	Sarmiento de La Banda - Central Norte	2:1 ✺
07.07.24	Central Norte - General San Martín de Formosa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWLW

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