Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Round 18

Date: 14 July 2024, Sunday


	Sarmiento de La Banda		Central Norte

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.5	5.75
	1.53	3.6	6
	1.52	3.41	5.84
	1.53	3.6	5.5
	1.53	3.58	6.11
	1.53	3.5	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (2.21)	3.53 ↑ (3.15)	5.83 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de La Banda
59%

Draw
25.5%

Central Norte
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

28.5%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

29.3%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de La Banda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarmiento de La Banda's performance.

Central Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Central Norte might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de La Banda than the current prediction. (-17.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarmiento de La Banda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Central Norte could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Sarmiento de La Banda - Central Norte Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sarmiento La Banda will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Central Norte will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Guzman G. G. (Pen),
70', 1 - 1, Cabana J. ⚽,
76', 2 - 1, Guzman G. G. (Pen),

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de La Banda
Argentinian Torneo Federal
30.06.24	General San Martín de Formosa - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:1 ✺
23.06.24	Sarmiento de La Banda - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:0 ✺
14.06.24	Juventud Antoniana - Sarmiento de La Banda	2:1 ✺
07.06.24	Sarmiento de La Banda - Crucero del Norte	2:1 ✺
02.06.24	Sol de América de Formosa - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWLWL
- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Torneo Federal
07.07.24	Central Norte - General San Martín de Formosa	2:0 ✺
30.06.24	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Central Norte	0:1 ✺
23.06.24	Central Norte - Juventud Antoniana	2:0 ✺
15.06.24	Crucero del Norte - Central Norte	0:1 ✺
09.06.24	Central Norte - Sol de América de Formosa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
15.05.24	Central Norte - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:1

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