Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 3

Date: 4 August 2024, Sunday


	Central Norte		Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.3	7.75
	1.47	3.4	8
	1.47	3.34	7.19
				Watch
	1.46	3.4	8.45
	1.47	3.4	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.7)	3.37 ↑ (3)	7.88 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Norte
61.7%

Draw
26.8%

Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

29.7%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

28.5%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Central Norte's performance.

Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Central Norte that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Central Norte - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Central Norte could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Central Norte is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Central Norte won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Central Norte won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Torneo Federal
28.07.24	General San Martín de Formosa - Central Norte	2:1 ✺
21.07.24	Central Norte - Sarmiento de La Banda	2:0 ✺
14.07.24	Sarmiento de La Banda - Central Norte	2:1 ✺
07.07.24	Central Norte - General San Martín de Formosa	2:0 ✺
30.06.24	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Central Norte	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWLWW
- Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
27.07.24	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Sol de América de Formosa	0:0 ✺
21.07.24	Sportivo Las Parejas - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	2:1 ✺
14.07.24	Sportivo Belgrano - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	0:0 ✺
07.07.24	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Douglas Haig	1:1 ✺
30.06.24	Independiente Chivilcoy - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
16.10.22	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Central Norte	0:0
03.07.22	Central Norte - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	2:0
10.09.21	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Central Norte	2:0
07.06.21	Central Norte - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	1:0

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