Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Round 17

Date: 7 July 2024, Sunday


	Central Norte		General San Martín de Formosa

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.9	3.2
	2.15	3	3.3
	2.02	2.88	3.76
	1.95	3	3.75
	2.26	2.82	3.35
	2.14	3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.06)	2.93 ↓ (3.33)	3.44 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Norte
42.9%

Draw
30.8%

General San Martín de Formosa
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

27.1%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

26%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

General San Martín de Formosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for General San Martín de Formosa than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Central Norte - General San Martín de Formosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
72', 1 - 0, Lopez E. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 0, Lesman G. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

Central Norte is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Winners stage )

San Martín de Formosa is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Winners stage )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Central Norte won 1.

Central Norte in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

San Martín de Formosa is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

San Martín de Formosa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Central Norte will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Central Norte won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Central Norte won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Torneo Federal
30.06.24	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Central Norte	0:1 ✺
23.06.24	Central Norte - Juventud Antoniana	2:0 ✺
15.06.24	Crucero del Norte - Central Norte	0:1 ✺
09.06.24	Central Norte - Sol de América de Formosa	2:2 ✺
01.06.24	Unión de Sunchales - Central Norte	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWTW
- General San Martín de Formosa
Argentinian Torneo Federal
30.06.24	General San Martín de Formosa - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:1 ✺
14.06.24	Sarmiento de Resistencia - General San Martín de Formosa	0:1 ✺
09.06.24	General San Martín de Formosa - Juventud Antoniana	2:0 ✺
02.06.24	Crucero del Norte - General San Martín de Formosa	1:3 ✺
26.05.24	General San Martín de Formosa - Sol de América de Formosa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
11.05.24	General San Martín de Formosa - Central Norte	2:1
24.09.23	General San Martín de Formosa - Central Norte	1:1
29.07.23	Central Norte - General San Martín de Formosa	0:0
04.06.23	General San Martín de Formosa - Central Norte	2:0
09.04.23	Central Norte - General San Martín de Formosa	2:0
16.07.22	Central Norte - General San Martín de Formosa	3:3
03.04.22	General San Martín de Formosa - Central Norte	0:0

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