The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santamarina de Tandil 22.2%
Draw 33.6%
Villa Mitre 44.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.2%
32.7%
32.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36%
33.4%
31.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santamarina de Tandil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santamarina de Tandil's form might have worsened.
Villa Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villa Mitre's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santamarina de Tandil than the current prediction. (+13.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santamarina de Tandil, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (-12.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villa Mitre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
14.3%
85.7%
Santamarina de Tandil - Villa Mitre Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Villa Mitre will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Moris U. (G) 7. Alvarenga L. 10. Chavez T. 4. Dominguez L. 5. Igartua N. 8. Labaroni M. 6. Lucero I. 3. Perez F. 2. Romat N. 9. Romero T. 11. San Martin B.
1. Mazza J. P. (G) 2. Almada J. 11. Ayala V. 6. Bacigalupe S. 8. Battigelli A. 5. Cavagnero N. 10. Gonzalez E. 9. Ibarra T. 7. Monti L. 3. Olguin U. 4. Perez T.
Substitutes
20. Canchi M. 15. Di Carlo R. 19. Ijurco M. 14. Istillarte J. 16. Meza F. 12. Perez F. (G) 17. Sanchez J. 13. Sposato T. 18. Waldbillig L.
15. Aguirre M. 12. Alcaraz M. (G) 16. Avit D. 20. Gomez S. 17. Mujica P. 13. Segalerba G. 14. Silva H. 18. Tarasco R. 19. Tunessi M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Dominguez L. 🟨,
39', Lucero I. 🟨,
43', Moris U. 🟨,
45', Alvarenga L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', Perez T. 🟨,
64', Battigelli A. ↓, Tarasco R. ↑,
64', Ayala V. ↓, Gomez S. ↑,
73', 0 - 1, Almada J. ⚽,
84', Ibarra T. ↓, Avit D. ↑,
86', 0 - 2, Gomez S. ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 6 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santamarina won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Santamarina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Santamarina won 0 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 0.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Santamarina won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).
Argentina
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Moris U. (G) 
Canchi M. 
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