Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 12

Date: 3 August 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Atenas de San Carlos		Colón Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.95	2.45
	2.50	3.00	2.63
	2.96	2.99	2.50
	3	2.97	2.51	Watch
	2.85	2.85	2.45
	2.93	2.88	2.43
	2.85	2.90	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.49)	2.93 ↓ (3.03)	2.48 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atenas de San Carlos
32.3%

Draw
31%

Colón Montevideo
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

29.8%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

32.2%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atenas de San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Colón Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atenas de San Carlos than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atenas de San Carlos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón Montevideo than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colón Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atenas de San Carlos - Colón Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, Suarez N. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Espinosa L. ⚽,
40', 2 - 1, Da Rocha A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
74', 3 - 1, Da Rocha A. ⚽,
90+5', 4 - 1, Acosta A. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Apertura: ) and 9).

Recent performances by Atenas have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Colón is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Atenas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Atenas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Atenas	21	12	4	5	30:18	12	40
6	Colon	21	8	6	7	20:23	-3	30

Last Results with these Odds

Atenas de San Carlos - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 36.2%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atenas de San Carlos
Uruguayan Segunda Division
26.07.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Rentistas	1:3 ✺
06.07.26	Miramar Misiones - Atenas de San Carlos	1:1 ✺
27.06.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Tacuarembó	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Plaza Colonia - Atenas de San Carlos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLTWW
- Colón Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
25.07.26	Colón Montevideo - Paysandú	2:3 ✺
11.07.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Colón Montevideo	0:2 ✺
05.07.26	Colón Montevideo - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	Oriental de La Paz - Colón Montevideo	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Colón Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
30.08.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Colón Montevideo	1:1
08.06.25	Colón Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	0:1
17.08.24	Colón Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	1:1
13.04.24	Colón Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	2:1

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