Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 11

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Parque Capurro (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Atletico Fenix Montevideo		Atenas de San Carlos

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.20	3.20
	2.05	3.1	3.3
	1.93	3.42	3.73
	2.08	3.37	3.42	Watch
	1.9	3.05	3.35
	2.09	3.34	3.44
	2.03	3.1	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.95)	3.23 ↑ (3.2)	3.39 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atletico Fenix Montevideo
45.1%

Draw
28.1%

Atenas de San Carlos
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

28%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

28.9%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atletico Fenix Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Atenas de San Carlos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atenas de San Carlos than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Fenix will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Atenas will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+6', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Apertura: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fenix won 2.

In recent matches, Fenix has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atenas is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fenix could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Fenix won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.6:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Fenix won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Atenas	21	12	4	5	30:18	12	40
7	Fenix	21	7	8	6	27:24	3	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
13.07.26	Paysandú - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:0 ✺
05.07.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Huracán Paso de la Arena	2:0 ✺
27.06.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	3:2 ✺
20.06.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	2:2 ✺
13.06.26	Colón Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLTT
- Atenas de San Carlos
Uruguayan Segunda Division
12.07.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Rentistas	1:3 ✺
06.07.26	Miramar Misiones - Atenas de San Carlos	1:1 ✺
27.06.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Tacuarembó	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Plaza Colonia - Atenas de San Carlos	1:2 ✺
14.06.26	Atenas de San Carlos - La Luz	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
27.04.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:4
26.10.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	1:2
03.08.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:0
Uruguayan Primera Division
21.10.18	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	2:1
22.04.18	Atenas de San Carlos - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	3:1
11.04.15	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	3:2
05.10.14	Atenas de San Carlos - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	3:0

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