Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 10

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Atenas de San Carlos		Rentistas

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.95	2.55
	2.65	3.05	2.45
	2.68	3.05	2.82
	2.69	2.95	2.79	Watch
	2.60	2.85	2.75
	2.70	3.01	2.73
	2.55	2.90	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 (2.63)	2.97 ↓ (3.1)	2.67 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atenas de San Carlos
34.8%

Draw
30.9%

Rentistas
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

29%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

29.8%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atenas de San Carlos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Rentistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atenas de San Carlos than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Atenas de San Carlos - Rentistas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Silveira M. ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, Silveira M. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 2, Chavez F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 1 - 3, ⚽,
86', 🟥,
86', 🟥,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Apertura: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atenas won 1.

Atenas is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rentistas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rentistas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Atenas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Atenas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Atenas	21	12	4	5	30:18	12	40
2	Rentistas	21	9	6	6	26:23	3	33

Last Results with these Odds

Atenas de San Carlos - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 34.22%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Rentistas - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.74%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atenas de San Carlos
Uruguayan Segunda Division
06.07.26	Miramar Misiones - Atenas de San Carlos	1:1 ✺
27.06.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Tacuarembó	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Plaza Colonia - Atenas de San Carlos	1:2 ✺
14.06.26	Atenas de San Carlos - La Luz	4:0 ✺
07.06.26	Cerrito - Atenas de San Carlos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TWWWL
- CA Rentistas
Uruguayan Segunda Division
04.07.26	Rentistas - Paysandú	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Rentistas	1:2 ✺
21.06.26	Rentistas - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	Oriental de La Paz - Rentistas	3:0 ✺
06.06.26	Rentistas - Colón Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
20.09.25	Rentistas - Atenas de San Carlos	2:0
29.06.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Rentistas	0:2
05.04.25	Rentistas - Atenas de San Carlos	2:0
29.09.24	Atenas de San Carlos - Rentistas	2:0
15.06.24	Rentistas - Atenas de San Carlos	2:0
26.11.23	Atenas de San Carlos - Rentistas	0:2
15.07.23	Rentistas - Atenas de San Carlos	1:2

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