Match Info

URUGUAY: COPA URUGUAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 6 November 2023, Monday


	Atenas de San Carlos		Liverpool Montevideo

	1	X	2
	7	4.5	1.34
	6.71	4.63	1.35
	6.71	4.63	1.36
	7.3	4.7	1.33
	4.8	3.85	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.5 ↑ (4.1)	4.46 ↑ (3.7)	1.4 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atenas de San Carlos
14.1%

Draw
20.5%

Liverpool Montevideo
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

24.6%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

24.1%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atenas de San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atenas de San Carlos's form might have worsened.

Liverpool Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liverpool Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atenas de San Carlos than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atenas de San Carlos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Liverpool Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Recent matches Atenas is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Liverpool is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Liverpool could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Liverpool is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Atenas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Atenas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atenas de San Carlos
Uruguayan Segunda Division
04.11.23	Atenas de San Carlos - Albion Montevideo	0:0 ✺
25.10.23	Sud América - Atenas de San Carlos	0:1 ✺
22.10.23	Atenas de San Carlos - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:2 ✺
Uruguay Copa
19.10.23	Atlético Juanicó - Atenas de San Carlos	1:2 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
15.10.23	Atenas de San Carlos - Tacuarembó	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWLWW
- Liverpool Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
05.11.23	Peñarol de Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1 ✺
23.10.23	Montevideo City Torque - Liverpool Montevideo	2:3 ✺
18.10.23	Liverpool Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	2:0 ✺
14.10.23	La Luz - Liverpool Montevideo	0:2 ✺
07.10.23	Liverpool Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
18.08.18	Atenas de San Carlos - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1
03.03.18	Liverpool Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	1:0

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