Match Info
Segunda Division - Round 20Date: 27 September 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
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Atenas de San Carlos |
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Plaza Colonia |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.60 |
2.87 |
2.55 |
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2.52 |
2.82 |
2.7 |
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2.64 |
2.93 |
2.82 |
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2.65 |
2.97 |
2.81 |
 Watch |
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2.6 |
2.9 |
2.75 |
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2.5 |
3.13 |
2.86 |
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2.5 |
2.85 |
2.7 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↑
(2.38) |
2.92 ↓
(2.95) |
2.74 ↓
(2.8) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Atenas de San Carlos
35.5% | Draw
31.2% | Plaza Colonia
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atenas de San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Plaza Colonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atenas de San Carlos than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (-1.5%)Atenas de San Carlos - Plaza Colonia Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Atenas will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Apertura: ) and 3rd).Atenas has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 2 wins).Performances by Plaza Colonia have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).Plaza Colonia could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match. The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Atenas has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:5 (averaging 1:1.7 goals per game).Specifically in home fixtures for Atenas against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:3 goals.
Standings
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atenas | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 30:18 | 12 | 40 |
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| 4 | Plaza Colonia | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 26:21 | 5 | 32 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Atenas de San Carlos - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 37.64%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Uruguayan Segunda Division | | | 20.06.26 | Plaza Colonia - Atenas de San Carlos | 1:2 | | 10.08.24 | Atenas de San Carlos - Plaza Colonia | 1:3 | | 10.05.24 | Plaza Colonia - Atenas de San Carlos | 1:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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