The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atenas de San Carlos 33.2%
Draw 31.9%
River Plate Montevideo 34.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.9%
29.4%
33.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.6%
31.5%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atenas de San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atenas de San Carlos than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atenas de San Carlos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Atenas de San Carlos - River Plate Montevideo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', (Penalty Awarded),
55', 2 - 1, ⚽,
65', 3 - 1, ⚽,
88', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Apertura: ) and 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atenas won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Atenas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Atenas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.8:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Atenas won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
Standings
Main
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Atenas
21
12
4
5
30:18
12
40
5
River Plate
21
8
6
7
31:26
5
30
Last Results with these Odds
Atenas de San Carlos - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 36.85%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.
River Plate Montevideo - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 33.79%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
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