Match Info
Segunda Division - Round 18Date: 13 September 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
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Atenas de San Carlos |
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Cerrito |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.05 |
3.00 |
3.25 |
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2 |
2.95 |
3.5 |
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 |
2.15 |
3.1 |
3.68 |
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2.2 |
3.13 |
3.4 |
 Watch |
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2.03 |
3.05 |
3.6 |
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 |
1.99 |
3.25 |
3.87 |
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 |
2.01 |
3 |
3.45 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↓
(2.48) |
3.07 ↑
(3) |
3.54 ↑
(2.6) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Atenas de San Carlos
44.3% | Draw
29.8% | Cerrito
25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atenas de San Carlos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atenas de San Carlos's performance.Cerrito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cerrito might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atenas de San Carlos than the current prediction. (-10.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atenas de San Carlos that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (+11.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerrito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Atenas de San Carlos - Cerrito Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Apertura: ) and 6).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atenas won 3.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Cerrito may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Atenas won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.2:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Atenas won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).
Standings
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atenas | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 30:18 | 12 | 40 |
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| 8 | Cerrito | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 29 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Atenas de San Carlos - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 35.96%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Uruguayan Segunda Division | | | 07.06.26 | Cerrito - Atenas de San Carlos | 2:1 | | 21.03.26 | Cerrito - Atenas de San Carlos | 3:1 | | 06.09.25 | Cerrito - Atenas de San Carlos | 0:3 | | 15.06.25 | Atenas de San Carlos - Cerrito | 3:0 | | 12.04.25 | Atenas de San Carlos - Cerrito | 2:1 | | 20.10.24 | Cerrito - Atenas de San Carlos | 4:1 | | 10.07.24 | Atenas de San Carlos - Cerrito | 1:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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