Match Info
Copa Uruguay - Round 1Date: 26 August 2026, WednesdayLocation: Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo María Mincheff de Lazaroff (Montevideo)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Danubio |
|
Atenas de San Carlos |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.78 |
3.10 |
4.10 |
|
 |
1.88 |
3.10 |
3.80 |
|
 |
1.83 |
3.19 |
4.40 |
|
 |
1.8 |
3.29 |
4.37 |
 Watch |
 |
1.79 |
3.15 |
4.35 |
|
 |
1.84 |
3.26 |
4.59 |
|
 |
1.79 |
3.15 |
4.10 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↓
(2.11) |
3.18 ↑
(2.94) |
4.24 ↑
(3.48) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Danubio
50% | Draw
28.6% | Atenas de San Carlos
21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Danubio's performance.Atenas de San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Danubio that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atenas de San Carlos than the current prediction. (+3.8%)Danubio - Atenas de San Carlos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
#ad
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (3 - 2)
- 9', 0 - 1, Milan F. ⚽,
- 19', 0 - 2, Bassadone L. ⚽,
- 22', 1 - 2, Papel ⚽,
- 24', 2 - 2, Velazquez A. ⚽,
- 45', 3 - 2, Costantino I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 3.Recent form of Danubio has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).Atenas is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). In this match, Danubio is seen as the favorite.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 2:0.7).Including home matches between the teams, Danubio won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 3:0.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Atenas de San Carlos - the odds 3.48 are the expected chance of winning is 26.09%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Uruguayan Segunda Division | | | 21.09.21 | Atenas de San Carlos - Danubio | 0:2 | | 15.06.21 | Danubio - Atenas de San Carlos | 2:1 | | Uruguayan Primera Division | | | 22.09.18 | Atenas de San Carlos - Danubio | 0:0 | | 01.04.18 | Danubio - Atenas de San Carlos | 5:0 | | 22.02.15 | Atenas de San Carlos - Danubio | 3:1 | | 24.08.14 | Danubio - Atenas de San Carlos | 2:0 |
|
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
