Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 30 January 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio San Mamés (Bilbao)

Referee: Jug M. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Sweden	Disney+
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Turkey	Tabii
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World	Disney+, VIX App


	Athletic Bilbao		Viktoria Plzeň

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	7
	1.46	4.5	6.75
				Watch
	1.4	4.33	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.56)	4.44 ↑ (4.14)	7.08 ↑ (5.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao
65.6%

Draw
21.2%

Viktoria Plzeň
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

23%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

24%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Viktoria Plzeň has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	8.8%	8.8%

Athletic Bilbao - Viktoria Plzeň Predictions

Users Predictions: Athletic Bilbao will win (74 of 90 users predict this - 82.22%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.32% – 90.12%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Agirrezabala J. (G) 18. de Marcos O. (C) 3. Vivian D. 5. Alvarez Y. 17. Berchiche Y. 23. Jauregizar M. 24. Prados Diaz B. 9. Williams I. 7. Berenguer A. 10. Williams N. 12. Guruzeta G.	16. Jedlicka M. (G) 40. Dweh S. 3. Markovic S. 21. Jemelka V. 22. Cadu 6. Cerv L. 23. Kalvach L. (C) 24. Havel M. 11. Vydra M. 31. Sulc P. 80. Adu P. K.
Substitutes
32. Boiro A. 28. Canales P. 11. Djalo A. 20. Gomez U. 2. Gorosabel A. 19. Javier Marton 15. Lekue I. 14. Nunez U. 4. Paredes A. 8. Sancet O. 1. Simon U. (G) 6. Vesga M.	30. Baier V. (G) 2. Hejda L. 10. Kopic J. 5. Paluska J. 20. Panos J. 12. Sojka A. 13. Tvrdon M. (G) 32. Valenta M. 51. Vasulin D.
Coaches
Valverde E.	Koubek M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Adu P. K. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Williams N. ⚽, Williams I. (A),
31', Berenguer A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
62', Adu P. K. ↓, Panos J. ↑,
63', Dweh S. 🟨,
64', 2 - 0, Alvarez Y. ⚽, Berenguer A. (A),
66', Berenguer A. ↓, Sancet O. ↑,
70', Williams I. ↓, Djalo A. ↑,
70', Jauregizar M. ↓, Vesga M. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Havel M. ⚽, Cerv L. (A),
79', Kalvach L. ↓, Vasulin D. ↑,
84', Djalo A. 🟨,
89', Vasulin D. 🟥,
89', Williams N. ↓, Gomez U. ↑,
89', Guruzeta G. ↓, Javier Marton ↑,
90+5', 3 - 1, Javier Marton ⚽, Sancet O. (A),

Preview

Athletic is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Plzeň is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Plzeň could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Athletic is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Athletic: Ruiz de Galarreta I. (Hamstring Injury) Serrano N. (Illness)

There will not play in Plzeň: Durosinmi R. (Convalescence) Sene C. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Plzeň: Souare C. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao
Spanish LaLiga
26.01.25	Athletic Bilbao - Leganés	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.25	Beşiktaş - Athletic Bilbao	4:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
19.01.25	Celta de Vigo - Athletic Bilbao	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.01.25	Athletic Bilbao - Osasuna	2:3 ✺
Spanish Supercopa
08.01.25	Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLWLL
- Viktoria Plzeň
UEFA Europa League
23.01.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Anderlecht	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
16.01.25	AIK - Viktoria Plzeň	0:2 ✺
12.01.25	Piast Gliwice - Viktoria Plzeň	0:2 ✺
09.01.25	Paderborn - Viktoria Plzeň	2:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
15.12.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Dynamo České Budějovice	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWTW

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