Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 9

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Espiñedo (Ourense)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Arenteiro		Pontevedra

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.9	2.55
	2.72	2.98	2.58
	2.34	3.06	3.08
	2.24	3.35	3.02	Watch
	2.77	2.91	2.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.24)	3.04 ↓ (3.35)	2.77 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Arenteiro
36.3%

Draw
30.3%

Pontevedra
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

27.7%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

27%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arenteiro's form might have worsened.

Pontevedra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Arenteiro - Pontevedra Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Pontevedra (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pontevedra (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Garcia D. (G) 22. Sanchez J. 5. Perez G. 3. Lohr L. 15. Moreno D. 10. Marquitos 6. Val B. 16. Guerrero J. 25. Bastida A. 24. Richarte R. 12. Ochoa M.	13. Marqueta R. (G) 19. Garay B. 4. Bosch M. 23. Montoro A. 24. Rodriguez T. 8. Abelenda B. 16. Vidorreta A. 6. Ribeiro A. 10. Pino Y. 17. Macias L. 11. Cuesta M.
Substitutes
17. Aguza S. 19. Alpha M. 1. Alvin (G) 4. Falcon E. 7. Ferreiro D. 44. Gimenez F. 30. Iglesias F. 21. Llacer L. 18. Mingo V. 2. Moya P. 23. Romera D. 14. Safrai	22. Comparada Gonzalez A. 5. Conesa N. 20. Denia M. 2. Eimil V. 3. Exposito A. 7. Gonzalez A. 15. Juanra 14. Resende J. 9. Selma D. 1. Sousa E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Perez G. 🟨,
37', Sanchez J. 🟨,
40', 🟨,
43', Garay B. 🟨,
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Val B. ↓, Aguza S. ↑,
66', Macias L. ↓, Resende J. ↑,
66', Garay B. ↓, Eimil V. ↑,
75', Rodriguez T. ↓, Selma D. ↑,
75', Ribeiro A. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
80', Moreno D. ↓, Iglesias F. ↑,
80', Richarte R. ↓, Ferreiro D. ↑,
87', Ferreiro D. 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+4', Vidorreta A. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arenteiro won 1.

Recent form of Arenteiro has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pontevedra has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Arenteiro won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Arenteiro won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Arenteiro - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.49%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Arenteiro
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.10.25	Mérida AD - Arenteiro	3:1 ✺
12.10.25	Arenteiro - CD Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Arenteiro - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Celta de Vigo B - Arenteiro	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Arenteiro - Zamora	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTTLT
- Pontevedra CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.10.25	Pontevedra - Osasuna B	2:2 ✺
12.10.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Pontevedra	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Pontevedra - Talavera de la Reina	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Ourense CF - Pontevedra	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Pontevedra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
15.08.25	Pontevedra - Arenteiro	2:0
09.08.24	Arenteiro - Pontevedra	1:0
09.08.23	Arenteiro - Pontevedra	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
20.02.22	Arenteiro - Pontevedra	1:5
03.10.21	Pontevedra - Arenteiro	2:2
Club Friendly
08.08.18	Arenteiro - Pontevedra	0:1 penalties

Upcoming Matches