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Current Win Probability
CD Guadalajara 37.7%
Draw 30.4%
Athletic Bilbao B 31.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.2%
29.7%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.2%
29.7%
32.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CD Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Athletic Bilbao B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
CD Guadalajara - Athletic Bilbao B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Zarco A. (G) 16. Cera 15. Rodriguez V. 4. Ablanque J. 23. Casado J. 17. Gil A. 14. Tavares R. 20. Diaz B. 22. Samuel 7. Neskes 10. Amigo D.
13. Santos M. (G) 28. Monreal I. 4. Dunabeitia A. 15. Alday I. 12. Barandalla M. 18. Garcia E. 8. Lete E. 11. Bujan E. 10. Sanchez I. 31. Conde A. 9. Sanz I.
Substitutes
11. Alvarez U. 30. Batan A. 8. Calvo T. 31. Cruz A. 32. Delgado A. 27. Mayo N. 19. Munoz P. 21. Ramirez M. 6. Rojo P. 13. Vicente D. (G)
3. De Luis J. 5. Ebro Cortina E. 1. Gamen E. (G) 6. Gibelalde M. 23. Gift E. 7. Hierro A. 17. Huestamendia P. 2. Irurita X. 20. Vizcay T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Sanz I. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Neskes (Pen),
30', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 🟨,
49', Sanchez I. (Pen),
50', 1 - 2, Huestamendia P. ⚽,
57', Gil A. ↓, Alvarez U. ↑,
58', 🟨,
62', Samuel ↓, Calvo T. ↑,
62', Neskes ↓, Munoz P. ↑,
67', 1 - 3, Hierro A. ⚽,
90+7', 🟨,
90+10', 2 - 3, Munoz P. ⚽,
90+12', 🟥,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).
Guadalajara has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Athletic Bilbao B's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Guadalajara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
Including home match between the teams, Guadalajara won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.