Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 8

Date: 30 October 2022, Sunday


	Barakaldo		Portugalete

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.1
	2.12	2.7	3.25
	2.13	2.75	3.35
	2.14	2.81	3.47
	2.08	3.13	3.35
	2.25	2.85	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.15)	2.87 ↑ (2.8)	3.3 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barakaldo
41.7%

Draw
31.1%

Portugalete
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

31.6%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

29.1%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

The chances for Portugalete have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Barakaldo - Portugalete Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barakaldo won 2.

Barakaldo in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Portugalete is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Barakaldo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Barakaldo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Barakaldo won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Barakaldo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
22.10.22	Pasaia - Barakaldo	0:4 ✺
16.10.22	Barakaldo - San Ignacio	3:0 ✺
08.10.22	Vitoria - Barakaldo	0:1 ✺
02.10.22	Barakaldo - Basconia	0:0 ✺
24.09.22	Lagun Onak - Barakaldo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWTW
- Club Portugalete
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
23.10.22	Portugalete - Deusto	1:0 ✺
15.10.22	Touring KE - Portugalete	1:3 ✺
01.10.22	Durango - Portugalete	0:1 ✺
24.09.22	Portugalete - Padura	1:1 ✺
17.09.22	Anaitasuna - Portugalete	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
07.05.22	Portugalete - Barakaldo	0:0 ET
10.04.22	Barakaldo - Portugalete	3:2
04.12.21	Portugalete - Barakaldo	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
06.03.21	Portugalete - Barakaldo	2:0
23.12.20	Barakaldo - Portugalete	0:2
Club Friendly
14.08.18	Portugalete - Barakaldo	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
27.02.16	Barakaldo - Portugalete	1:0

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