Match Info

Serie B - Round 27

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Arena Pantanal (Cuiabá)

Referee: Vasconcelos B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Cuiabá		Athletic Club

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.00	5.00	Watch
	1.93	2.95	4.20
	1.88	3.10	4.60	Watch
	2.09	3.04	4.52
	1.86	3.11	4.89	Watch
	2.04	2.95	4.45
	1.88	2.97	4.95	Watch
	1.92	2.95	4.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (1.97)	3.01 ↓ (3.05)	4.64 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cuiabá
48.6%

Draw
31.2%

Athletic Club
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

30.6%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

29.5%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Cuiabá - Athletic Club Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Athletic will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joao Carlos (G) 13. Joao Basso 5. Calebe Costa 4. Vitor Mendes 2. Igor Inocencio 30. Raul (C) 20. David Miguel 36. Lorenzo 41. Kauan Cristtyan 77. Jean Dias 90. Fabio Gomes	1. Luan Polli (G) 2. Douglas Pele 3. Jhonatan Silva 4. Belezi (C) 23. Enzo Santos 16. Joao Miguel 11. Max 14. Yago Santos 17. Kauan Rodrigues 10. Kauan Lindes 9. Carlinhos
Substitutes
33. Alan Empereur 12. Busatto G. (G) 11. Eliel 14. Eric Melo 91. Luis Soares 97. Luiz Otavio 7. Ramon 37. Raylan 27. Rodrigo Rodrigues 29. Vinicius Peixoto 70. Wesley Dias 53. Weverson	18. Assis 7. Bruninho 8. Cabezas G. 22. Diogo Batista 26. Eduardo Filipe 5. Felipe Negrucci 15. Jota 21. Philipe Sampaio 19. Pool J. 12. Tony (G) 20. Yarlen
Coaches
Barros E.	Alex Souza

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Fabio Gomes ⚽, Kauan Cristtyan (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', David Miguel ↓, Wesley Dias ↑,
59', Kauan Cristtyan ↓, Eliel ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Jhonatan Silva (Own goal),
65', Yago Santos ↓, Assis ↑,
65', Enzo Santos ↓, Bruninho ↑,
65', Kauan Lindes ↓, Cabezas G. ↑,
69', 3 - 0, Jean Dias ⚽, Eliel (A),
70', Max ↓, Pool J. ↑,
70', Fabio Gomes ↓, Vinicius Peixoto ↑,
70', Jean Dias ↓, Ramon ↑,
73', Carlinhos ↓, Yarlen ↑,
84', Igor Inocencio 🟨,
86', Igor Inocencio ↓, Raylan ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 11).

Cuiabá is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Athletic has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Cuiabá is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Cuiabá: Marcelo Carne (Injury)

There will not play in Athletic: Aponza W. (Yellow Cards) Rodrigo Gelado (Injury) Sidimar (Injury) Tavares R. (Injury) Vera D. (Yellow Cards) Zeca (Injury)

There are questionable in Cuiabá: Pepe (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cuiabá won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Cuiabá won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Cuiaba	32	11	14	7	32:25	7	47
14	Athletic Club	32	10	12	10	38:37	1	42

Last Results with these Odds

Cuiabá - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 47.41%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Athletic Club - the odds 4.25 are the expected chance of winning is 21.97%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Serie B
04.09.26	Criciúma - Cuiabá	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Botafogo SP - Cuiabá	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Cuiabá - Goiás	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	Cuiabá - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Ceará - Cuiabá	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 LWTWW
- Athletic Club MG
Brazilian Serie B
04.09.26	Athletic Club - Vila Nova	5:0 ✺
28.08.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Athletic Club	2:1 ✺
24.08.26	Athletic Club - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:4 ✺
20.08.26	Athletic Club - CRB Maceio	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	América Mineiro - Athletic Club	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
09.05.26	Athletic Club - Cuiabá	0:0
28.09.25	Cuiabá - Athletic Club	2:1
31.05.25	Athletic Club - Cuiabá	0:2

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