Match Info

Paranaense - Round 6

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Arena da Baixada (Curitiba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT


	Athletico Paranaense		Galo Maringá

	1	X	2
	1.22	4.75	11
	1.24	5.5	11
	1.21	5.67	11.84
	1.25	5.45	11.79	Watch
	1.22	4.8	10
	1.25	5.39	12.5	Watch
	1.23	5.66	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.44)	5.32 ↑ (4.37)	11.3 ↑ (6.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletico Paranaense
74.6%

Draw
17.3%

Galo Maringá
8.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

21.2%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletico Paranaense's performance.

Galo Maringá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Galo Maringá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Athletico Paranaense - Galo Maringá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mycael (G) 4. Andre M. 7. Chiqueti 8. Dudu Kogitzki 6. Esquivel 2. Gilberto Junior 9. Gonzalo Mastriani 10. Joao Cruz (C) 3. Leo 19. Luiz Fernando 17. Raul	1. Caio Bolonhin (G) 2. Bruno Ferreira 9. Eriky 7. Guilherme Papaleo 11. Iruan 6. Junior Prego 3. Kaio Godoi 10. Leandro Cordova 5. Lissandro 4. Rayan 8. Vinicius Michelon
Substitutes
22. Belezi 11. Bruninho 15. Claudinho 5. Diogo Riquelme 16. Kayke Ayrton 21. Lucas Amorim 18. Marezi L. 12. Mateus Soares (G) 14. Murilo 20. Renan Viana 24. Stabelini K. 13. Vitinho	12. Cima V. (G) 22. Danilo Silva 20. Diego Clemente 16. Eli Junior 17. Jota 18. Lucas Mazetti 13. Marcio Junior 19. Martins Y. 14. Sutilli T. 15. Thiago Goes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Chiqueti ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, Joao Cruz ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 3 - 0, Chiqueti ⚽,
54', Leandro Cordova ↓, Thiago Goes ↑,
54', Junior Prego ↓, Diego Clemente ↑,
57', Gonzalo Mastriani ↓, Bruninho ↑,
57', Esquivel L. ↓, Claudinho ↑,
67', Guilherme Papaleo ↓, Jota ↑,
67', Bruno Ferreira ↓, Lucas Mazetti ↑,
68', Chiqueti 🟨,
72', Joao Cruz ↓, Diogo Riquelme ↑,
72', Dudu Kogitzki ↓, Lucas Amorim ↑,
83', 3 - 1, Eriky ⚽,
86', 4 - 1, Diogo Riquelme ⚽,

Preview

Athletico PR has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Athletico PR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Athletico PR is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Athletico PR won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, Athletico PR won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Athletico Paranaense - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.44%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
20.01.26	Azuriz - Athletico Paranaense	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba	0:1 ✺
14.01.26	Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Cianorte - Athletico Paranaense	1:1 ✺
08.01.26	Andraus - Athletico Paranaense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLWTW
- Galo Maringá
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
20.01.26	Galo Maringá - Maringá	1:4 ✺
17.01.26	Londrina - Galo Maringá	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Galo Maringá - Foz do Iguaçu	3:0 ✺
06.01.26	São-Joseense - Galo Maringá	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense 2
05.07.25	Galo Maringá - Nacional PR	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
27.01.24	Athletico Paranaense - Galo Maringá	2:1

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