Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 August 2026, Monday

Location: Arena da Baixada (Curitiba)

Referee: Batista E. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Premiere, SporTV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Athletico Paranaense		Vitória Salvador

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.5	5.75	Watch
	1.58	3.40	5.50
	1.65	3.35	5.4	Watch
	1.67	3.41	6.7
	1.62	3.45	6.41	Watch
	1.65	3.35	6.6
	1.69	3.6	6.22	Watch
	1.63	3.75	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.85)	3.48 ↑ (3.26)	6.1 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletico Paranaense
57.5%

Draw
27.1%

Vitória Salvador
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

28.1%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletico Paranaense's performance.

Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitória Salvador might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Athletico Paranaense - Vitória Salvador Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Athletico Paranaense will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Santos (C) 29. Benavidez G. 33. Aguirre F. 4. Arthur Dias 12. Gilberto 16. Jadson 14. Luiz Gustavo 7. Mendoza S. 21. Leozinho 8. Joao Cruz 9. Viveros K.	1. Lucas Arcanjo (G) 70. Fabiano 25. Caca 2. Britez E. 36. Luan Candido 13. Ramon 44. Baralhas (C) 95. Caique Goncalves 10. Matheuzinho 91. Rene 6. Emmanuel Martinez
Substitutes
18. Calderon Vargas K. A. 53. Dudu Kogitzki 5. Felipinho 2. Gilberto Junior 3. Leo 6. Leo Derik 1. Mycael (G) 27. Portilla J. 70. Renan Peixoto 19. Rivaldo J. 22. Teran C. 10. Zapelli B.	26. Edenilson 33. Erick 23. Fabricio 83. Jamerson 20. Lucas Silva 7. Marinho 98. Matheusinho 79. Renato Kayzer 12. Tarzia D. 41. Wendell Santos 71. Yuri (G) 88. Ze Vitor
Coaches
Hellmann O.	Jair Ventura

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Joao Cruz ⚽, Leozinho (A),
21', Emmanuel Martinez 🟨,
26', Arthur Dias 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fabiano ↓, Erick ↑,
50', Leozinho 🟨,
61', Caca 🟨,
66', Joao Cruz ↓, Dudu Kogitzki ↑,
66', Leozinho ↓, Leo Derik ↑,
67', Emmanuel Martinez 🟨,
70', Matheuzinho ↓, Ze Vitor ↑,
70', Gilberto ↓, Calderon Vargas K. A. ↑,
78', 2 - 0, Dudu Kogitzki ⚽, Viveros K. (A),
80', Mendoza S. ↓, Rivaldo J. ↑,
80', Luiz Gustavo ↓, Zapelli B. ↑,
85', Dudu Kogitzki 🟨,
89', Rene ↓, Fabricio ↑,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Athletico PR has had a series of away games.

In this match, Athletico PR is the team to beat.

There will not play in Athletico PR: Dantas (Suspended) Esquivel L. (Inactive) Luiz Gustavo (Inactive) Mycael (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Vitória: Anderson (Knee Injury) Camutanga (Broken Leg) Dudu (Back Injury) Edu (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nathan Mendes (Knee Injury) Ramos R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Vitória: Riccieli (Calf Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:21. (average 2.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 2.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Athletico Paranaense - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.62%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie A
30.07.26	Corinthians - Athletico Paranaense	0:0 ✺
25.07.26	Athletico Paranaense - Internacional RS	2:0 ✺
22.07.26	São Paulo - Athletico Paranaense	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Athletico Paranaense	2:1 ✺
08.07.26	Boca Juniors - Athletico Paranaense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TWWLL
- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A
29.07.26	Vitória Salvador - Palmeiras	0:4 ✺
26.07.26	Remo - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
23.07.26	Botafogo RJ - Vitória Salvador	0:0 ✺
16.07.26	Vitória Salvador - Vasco da Gama	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
06.06.26	Vitória Salvador - Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
26.04.26	Athletico Paranaense - Vitória Salvador	3:1
02.11.24	Athletico Paranaense - Vitória Salvador	1:2
30.06.24	Vitória Salvador - Athletico Paranaense	0:1
17.11.18	Vitória Salvador - Athletico Paranaense	1:2
29.07.18	Athletico Paranaense - Vitória Salvador	4:0
19.10.17	Vitória Salvador - Athletico Paranaense	2:3
25.06.17	Athletico Paranaense - Vitória Salvador	4:1

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