Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 22

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday


	Atlético Astorga		Bergantiños

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.7	2.5
	2.82	2.78	2.52
	3.13	2.87	2.48
	3.09	2.76	2.49	Watch
	3	2.63	2.45
	3.03	2.78	2.44
	3.1	2.8	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.99)	2.76 ↓ (2.96)	2.47 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Atlético Astorga
30.3%

Draw
32.9%

Bergantiños
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

31.1%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

30.3%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Astorga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Bergantiños has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Atlético Astorga - Bergantiños Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Atlético Astorga (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Astorga (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Vales I. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
70', 2 - 0, Ceinos D. ⚽,
77', 3 - 0, Cervero A. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 7).

In recent matches, Atlético Astorga has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bergantiños is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atlético Astorga won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bergantinos	5	4	1	0	12:5	7	13
16	Atl. Astorga	5	1	0	4	5:7	-2	3

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Astorga - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 30.76%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
01.02.26	Real Ávila - Atlético Astorga	2:4 ✺
24.01.26	Atlético Astorga - Salamanca	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Coruxo - Atlético Astorga	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Atlético Astorga - Valladolid B	1:4 ✺
04.01.26	Marino de Luanco - Atlético Astorga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WLLLW
- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
31.01.26	Langreo - Bergantiños	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Bergantiños - Marino de Luanco	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Numancia - Bergantiños	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Bergantiños - Real Ávila	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Sarriana - Bergantiños	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.11.25	Bergantiños - Atlético Astorga	0:0

Upcoming Matches