The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Astorga 50.5%
Draw 27.4%
Burgos Promesas 22.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50%
25.3%
24.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53%
26.8%
23.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Astorga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Burgos Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Atlético Astorga - Burgos Promesas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Astorga won 1.
Recent form of Atlético Astorga has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Burgos Promesas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Atlético Astorga is seen as the favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Atlético Astorga won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Astorga won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).