Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 32

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday


	Atlético Baleares		Ibiza

	1	X	2
	5	3.4	1.62
	5.5	3.6	1.52
	6.5	3.75	1.52
	6.24	3.86	1.54
	6.24	3.86	1.55
	5.87	3.73	1.56
	5.8	3.7	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.88 ↑ (4.77)	3.7 ↑ (3.48)	1.55 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Baleares
15.7%

Draw
24.9%

Ibiza
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

26.4%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

25.1%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Baleares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ibiza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ibiza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético Baleares - Ibiza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lario J. (G) 2. Campabadal E. 15. Juanra 5. Jaume J. 4. Zalaya A. 23. Ferroni L. 7. Marong N. 18. Azeez M. 6. Villapalos A. (C) 11. Rochina R. 10. Pastrana V.	13. Sequeira P. (G) 17. Medina U. 12. Monjonell E. 22. Pepe 5. Jimenez J. 21. Eugeni 8. Fausto A. (C) 20. Arroyo R. 14. Gallar A. 7. Camara S. 9. Obolskiy N.
Substitutes
32. Alarcon M. 31. Andrews G. 28. Fernandez F. 12. Gonzalez R. 21. Nana 30. Ortega D. 29. Piera J. 16. Rodriguez D. 1. Vila R. (G)	6. Alvarez J. 2. Arguelles D. 4. Bobadilla P. 23. Escassi A. 10. Jamelli 11. Molina A. 16. Olabe R. 3. Olaortua I. 18. Omoigui C. 1. Reynet B. (G) 19. Soko P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Arroyo R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Arroyo R. ↓, Jamelli ↑,
68', Villapalos A. 🟨,
73', Jamelli 🟨,
73', Jaume J. 🟨,
74', Fausto A. ↓, Soko P. ↑,
75', Camara S. ↓, Olabe R. ↑,
75', Ferroni L. ↓, Fernandez F. ↑,
76', Rochina R. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
79', 0 - 1, Gallar A. ⚽, Obolskiy N. (A),
80', 🟨,
83', Azeez M. ↓, Ortega D. ↑,
83', Campabadal E. ↓, Piera J. ↑,
86', Gallar A. ↓, Molina A. ↑,
86', Eugeni ↓, Escassi A. ↑,
89', Piera J. 🟨,
90+1', Zalaya A. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Atlético Baleares is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ibiza is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Ibiza is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Atlético Baleares won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Baleares won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.04.24	Recreativo Huelva - Atlético Baleares	0:0 ✺
31.03.24	Atlético Baleares - Real Madrid Castilla	0:1 ✺
24.03.24	Alcoyano - Atlético Baleares	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Atlético Baleares - San Fernando	0:2 ✺
10.03.24	Córdoba - Atlético Baleares	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TLTLL
- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.04.24	Ibiza - Melilla	4:3 ✺
31.03.24	San Fernando - Ibiza	1:0 ✺
24.03.24	Ibiza - Ceuta	1:2 ✺
17.03.24	Real Murcia - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Ibiza - Algeciras	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.09.23	Ibiza - Atlético Baleares	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
08.03.20	Atlético Baleares - Ibiza	0:2
20.10.19	Ibiza - Atlético Baleares	0:1

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