Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 12

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Atlético Baleares		Mérida AD

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.75	3.25
	2.2	2.9	3
	2.35	3	3.1	Watch
	2.43	2.95	3.31
	2.39	2.94	3.31
	2.31	2.99	3.18
	2.22	2.95	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (1.97)	2.93 ↑ (2.9)	3.2 ↓ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Baleares
39.8%

Draw
31.4%

Mérida AD
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

30.5%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

24.6%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Baleares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Baleares's form might have worsened.

Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Atlético Baleares - Mérida AD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lario J. (G) 22. Ofoli F. 12. Gonzalez R. 14. Navarro D. 17. Alarcon R. 8. Ramon A. 21. Nana 30. Ortega D. 10. Pastrana V. 19. Shashoua A. 16. Rodriguez D.	1. Juanpa (G) 4. Bonaque M. 22. Bourdal T. 3. Prada R. 23. Rodriguez D. 8. Ben Hamed N. 5. Acosta L. 7. Sandoval D. 18. Padilla J. 9. Chuma 26. Dabo Gnako Y.
Substitutes
3. Fornies 15. Juanra 2. Loren 7. Moreno Sanchez J. 29. Piera J. 20. Sanchez O. 4. Sierra J. 1. Vila R. (G) 6. Villapalos A.	14. Beneit R. 33. Delgado L. 20. Elejalde I. 11. Escardo A. 6. Gutierrez I. 15. Jose Elo 10. Mukai A. 27. Sainz J. 13. Vicente D. (G)

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Atlético Baleares is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mérida AD has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Atlético Baleares will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético Baleares won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Baleares won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.11.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Atlético Baleares	5:0 ✺
29.10.23	Atlético Baleares - Melilla	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Intercity - Atlético Baleares	0:0 ✺
14.10.23	Atlético Baleares - Atlético Madrid B	0:3 ✺
08.10.23	Atlético Baleares - Real Murcia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWTLL
- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.11.23	Mérida AD - Ibiza	1:2 ✺
29.10.23	Atlético Madrid B - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Mérida AD - Real Murcia	0:1 ✺
14.10.23	Córdoba - Mérida AD	2:1 ✺
07.10.23	Mérida AD - Antequera	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
09.05.21	Mérida AD - Atlético Baleares	1:0
18.04.21	Atlético Baleares - Mérida AD	2:1

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