Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Américo Montanini (Bucaramanga) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bismark S. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belarus	00:00	Sport TV
Colombia	16:00	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Russia	00:00	Viju+ Sport
South America	—	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	17:00	Fanatiz, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, Fubo Latino 2


	Atlético Bucaramanga		América de Cali

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.7	Watch
	2.65	3.00	2.55
	2.72	3	2.65	Watch
	2.87	3.1	2.79
	2.76	3.01	2.71	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.7
	2.64	3.14	2.57	Watch
	2.65	3.05	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.75)	3.04 ↓ (3.15)	2.67 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Bucaramanga
34.3%

Draw
30.7%

América de Cali
35%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.1%

29.8%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

30.3%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

América de Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Atlético Bucaramanga - América de Cali Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Fiermarin C. (G) 24. Ortiz J. 23. Romana C. 4. Garcia J. 6. Castrillon N. 21. Charrupi F. 28. Flores L. 8. Hinestroza F. 10. Sambueza F. (C) 27. Pons L. 17. Batalla E.	1. Jean (G) 18. Quintero Y. 2. Torres M. 22. Hernandez N. 14. Mina M. 15. Carrascal R. (C) 5. Escobar J. 23. Quinones L. 10. Guzman Y. 7. Murillo J. 9. Valencia D.
Substitutes
80. Albornoz O. 9. Caicedo B. 30. Cantillo V. 19. Gutierrez A. 18. Largacha E. 5. Murrilo A. 12. Novoa D. (G) 11. Salazar J. 20. Zarate A.	29. Amu C. 21. Angel T. 33. Balanta J. 30. Bertel O. 44. Cordoba B. 17. Lucumi J. 12. Montoya J. (G) 88. Palacios J. 77. Tortolero E.
Coaches
Peirano P.	Gonzalez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Pons L. 🟨,
26', Romana C. 🟥,
32', Valencia D. ↓, Angel T. ↑,
45+5', Escobar J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 0, Pons L. ⚽, Charrupi F. (A),
64', Escobar J. ↓, Lucumi J. ↑,
65', Murillo J. ↓, Palacios J. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Quintero Y. ⚽,
72', Flores L. ↓, Cantillo V. ↑,
73', Sambueza F. ↓, Albornoz O. ↑,
74', Hernandez N. ↓, Cordoba B. ↑,
78', Hinestroza F. ↓, Gutierrez A. ↑,
86', Pons L. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
86', Batalla E. ↓, Zarate A. ↑,
87', Palacios J. 🟨,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular: ) and 1st in the Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 1.

Bucaramanga has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by América de Cali have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Recently, Bucaramanga has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Bucaramanga has recorded 4 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:28 (averaging 0.7:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bucaramanga against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 9:14 goals (averaging 1:1.6 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	America De Cali ✔	16	10	4	2	31:12	19	34
6	Bucaramanga	15	6	7	2	23:15	8	25

Last Results with these Odds

América de Cali - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 36.09%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Primera A
13.10.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Rionegro Águilas	1:1 ✺
04.10.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Junior Barranquilla	3:1 ✺
25.09.26	Once Caldas - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:3 ✺
20.09.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Inter Bogotá	2:0 ✺
17.09.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Medellín	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWWWT
- América de Cali
Colombian Primera A
11.10.26	América de Cali - Independiente Medellín	1:2 ✺
04.10.26	Llaneros SA - América de Cali	1:2 ✺
23.09.26	América de Cali - Rionegro Águilas	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Deportes Tolima - América de Cali	1:1 ✺
14.09.26	América de Cali - Deportivo Pasto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
02.04.26	América de Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:0
Copa Sudamericana
05.03.26	América de Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:1
Colombian Primera A
16.09.25	América de Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:0
Colombian Copa
03.09.25	América de Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:0
27.08.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - América de Cali	1:0
Colombian Primera A
02.02.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - América de Cali	0:4
Colombian Copa
17.11.24	América de Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:0 penalties

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