Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 2

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio da Tapadinha (Lisbon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Atlético CP		Sporting Lisbon B

	1	X	2
	2.06	3.34	3.76
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.13)	3.34 ↑ (3.18)	3.76 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético CP
46.2%

Draw
28.5%

Sporting Lisbon B
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

29.4%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

29%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético CP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Sporting Lisbon B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético CP than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Atlético CP - Sporting Lisbon B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ribeiro L. (G) 45. Junior T. 4. Henriques D. 23. Almeida B. 29. Dinamite D. (C) 10. Caleb 19. Sousa C. 60. Marques R. 11. Franco E. 17. Silva D. 14. Joaozinho	41. Diego Callai (G) 73. Felicissimo E. 66. Alves M. 45. Moreira D. 78. Couto M. 50. Brito A. 88. Mendonca M. (C) 90. Moreira A. 77. Besugo R. 86. Nel R. 80. Gomes L.
Substitutes
30. Dias J. (G) 5. Durand V. 20. Gonzalez F. 77. Mendes J. 9. Nicolas Souza 88. Pinto P. 8. Pipo 51. Santos A. 13. Talison	67. Anjos L. 81. Arreiol H. 40. Arvelo A. 53. Dias R. 58. Goncalves F. 59. Kaua Oliveira 79. Marques R. 74. Pires G. (G) 95. Taibo Dominguez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Alves M. ↓, Taibo Dominguez L. ↑,
40', Moreira A. 🟨,
45+3', Sousa C. ↓, Pipo ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Moreira A. ↓, Anjos L. ↑,
46', Brito A. ↓, Arreiol H. ↑,
53', Silva D. 🟨,
61', Mendonca M. ↓, Goncalves F. ↑,
61', Nel R. ↓, Marques R. ↑,
81', Arreiol H. 🟨,
83', Silva D. ↓, Nicolas Souza ↑,
83', Franco E. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
90+2', Joaozinho ↓, Pinto P. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches New Mexico won 2.

New Mexico in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Utah State is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

New Mexico will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches New Mexico won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 1451:1550 (average 72.6:77.5).

Including matches at home between the teams New Mexico won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 644:659 (average 71.6:73.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético CP
Portuguese Liga 3
07.02.25	Belenenses - Atlético CP	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Atlético CP - Oliveira Hospital	2:0 ✺
19.01.25	Caldas - Atlético CP	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Covilhã - Atlético CP	1:3 ✺
05.01.25	Atlético CP - Académica Coimbra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWTWT
- Sporting Lisbon B
Portuguese Liga 3
07.02.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Lusitânia	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	SC Lusitânia - Sporting Lisbon B	2:2 ✺
18.01.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Belenenses	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	1 Dezembro - Sporting Lisbon B	0:0 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
07.01.25	Chelsea U21 - Sporting Lisbon B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
06.12.24	Atlético CP - Sporting Lisbon B	3:0
25.08.24	Sporting Lisbon B - Atlético CP	0:1
08.12.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Atlético CP	2:1
26.08.23	Atlético CP - Sporting Lisbon B	0:2
Portuguese Liga 2
09.03.16	Atlético CP - Sporting Lisbon B	1:3
18.10.15	Sporting Lisbon B - Atlético CP	0:1
22.03.15	Sporting Lisbon B - Atlético CP	2:0

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