Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Final

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday


	Atlético Central		Real Jaén

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.87	3.2
	2.42	2.84	2.87
				Watch
	2.52	2.89	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (1.93)	2.87 ↓ (3.3)	2.98 ↓ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Central
38.2%

Draw
31.5%

Real Jaén
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

27.5%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

25.8%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Central's form might have worsened.

Real Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Central than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Jaén, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético Central - Real Jaén Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jaén (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Atlético Central (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - draw (1.46) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Central (votes: 1 - 50%). Jaén (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 0 - 1, Burgos F. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Atlético Central has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Jaén is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Atlético Central will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Atlético Central
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
08.06.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Atlético Central	0:0 ✺
01.06.25	Atlético Central - Ciudad de Lucena	2:1 ✺
25.05.25	Utrera - Atlético Central	1:1 ET ✺
18.05.25	Atlético Central - Utrera	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Sevilla C - Atlético Central	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TWWWW
- Real Jaén
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
08.06.25	Real Jaén - Torre Del Mar	3:0 ✺
01.06.25	Torre Del Mar - Real Jaén	1:0 ✺
25.05.25	Real Jaén - Huétor Tájar	1:1 ET ✺
18.05.25	Huétor Tájar - Real Jaén	0:0 ✺
10.05.25	Real Jaén - Malaga B	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLTL

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