Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 7

Date: 7 September 2026, Monday

Location: Armenia Stadium (Buenos Aires)


	Atlético Escobar		Defensores de Vilelas

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.40	4.10
	1.72	3.10	4.70
	1.76	3.47	4.16
	1.81	3.30	4.30	Watch
	1.71	3.35	4.10
	1.78	3.18	4.43
	1.70	3.40	4.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.52)	3.31 ↓ (3.55)	4.27 ↓ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Escobar
51.7%

Draw
27.2%

Defensores de Vilelas
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

25.2%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

24.5%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Escobar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Escobar's form might have worsened.

Defensores de Vilelas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Defensores de Vilelas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Escobar than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Escobar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Vilelas than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Defensores de Vilelas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético Escobar - Defensores de Vilelas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Salamanca C. (G) 14. Aguirre E. 4. Barreto N. 3. Cupolo N. 8. Lara A. 11. Nunez L. 2. Paniagua H. 7. Piersigilli S. 10. Portillo T. A. 6. Rodriguez M. 9. Villalba R.	1. Ledesma L. (G) 7. Acevedo J. 8. Canete G. 9. Carballo G. 6. Farias F. 3. Molina N. 4. Montenegro I. 11. Montenegro R. 14. Navarro L. 10. Niz L. 5. Remotti L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Portillo T. A. ↓, Di Pietro C. ↑,
46', Aguirre E. ↓, Kilanowski N. ↑,
48', 0 - 1, Niz L. ⚽,
66', 🟨,
68', 🟨,
69', 1 - 1, Nunez L. (Penalty Awarded),
71', 🟨,
72', 🟨,
78', 2 - 1, Villalba R. ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Escobar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Escobar is the undisputed favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Escobar
Argentinian Torneo Federal
30.08.26	El Linqueño - Atlético Escobar	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Atlético Escobar - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Tucuman Central - Atlético Escobar	2:3 ✺
12.08.26	Atlético Escobar - Sportivo Las Parejas	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Atlético Escobar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLWTW
- Defensores de Vilelas
Argentinian Torneo Federal
23.08.26	Defensores de Vilelas - El Linqueño	0:0 ✺
16.08.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Defensores de Vilelas	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Tucuman Central	4:3 ✺
08.08.26	Sportivo Las Parejas - Defensores de Vilelas	0:0 ✺
03.08.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Sarmiento de Resistencia	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLWTW

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