The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Goianiense 34.7%
Draw 31.3%
São Paulo 34%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.3%
29.4%
40.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.2%
29.5%
40.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Paulo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Paulo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Atlético Goianiense - São Paulo Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Atlético GO will win (votes: 2 - 25%). São Paulo will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ronaldo Strada (C) 2. Bruno Tubarao 3. Luiz Felipe 4. Alix Vinicius 6. Guilherme Romao 5. Roni 8. Baralhas 7. Cruz A. 10. Shaylon 11. Luiz Fernando 9. Rodriguez E.
23. Rafael (G) 5. Robert Arboleda 28. Franco A. 4. Diego Costa 2. Igor Vinicius 29. Pablo Maia 25. Alisson 6. Welington 10. Luciano 9. Jonathan Calleri 17. Andre Silva
Substitutes
18. Daniel 21. Derek 19. Gabriel Barros 15. Lucas Kal 13. Maguinho 22. Max 14. Pedro Henrique 12. Pedro Rangel (G) 17. Rhaldney 16. Rodallega Y. 20. Vagner Love
21. Bobadilla D. 33. Erick 32. Ferraresi N. 47. Ferreirinha 8. Giuliano Galoppo 93. Jandrei (G) 31. Juan Santos 15. Michel Araujo 36. Patryck 11. Rodrigo Nestor 35. Sabino 39. William Gomes
Coaches
Ventura J.
Cruz M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Jonathan Calleri ⚽, Andre Silva (A),
33', Baralhas 🟨,
39', Roni 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Roni ↓, Rhaldney ↑,
46', Cruz A. ↓, Gabriel Barros ↑,
47', Gabriel Barros 🟨,
51', Luiz Felipe 🟥,
52', 0 - 2, Luciano (Pen),
54', Baralhas ↓, Lucas Kal ↑,
54', Rodriguez E. ↓, Max ↑,
63', Gabriel Barros 🟨,
72', Jonathan Calleri ↓, Ferreirinha ↑,
72', Franco A. ↓, Rodrigo Nestor ↑,
76', 0 - 3, Ferreirinha ⚽, Rodrigo Nestor (A),
81', Pablo Maia ↓, Michel Araujo ↑,
82', Alisson ↓, Bobadilla D. ↑,
84', Luiz Fernando 🟨,
88', Luciano ↓, Giuliano Galoppo ↑,
89', Luiz Fernando ↓, Maguinho ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético GO won 1.
Recent matches Atlético GO is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
São Paulo is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Atlético GO could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Atlético GO won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12-19.
Including matches at home between the teams Atlético GO won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-5.