Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie A - Round 26

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Antonio Accioly (Goiânia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Belarus 5
Brazil	Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	MEGOGO
Georgia	Silk Sport 2
Turkey	Spor Smart 2
Ukraine	Sport 1
World	Fanatiz


	Atlético Goianiense		Vitória Salvador

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	4.1	Watch
	2	3.3	3.8
	1.95	3.3	4
	2	3.33	4.27
	1.98	3.27	4.18	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.75
	1.97	3.38	4.07	Watch
	1.95	3.3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2)	3.32 ↓ (3.36)	4.02 ↑ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Goianiense
48%

Draw
28.5%

Vitória Salvador
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

28.1%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

26.3%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	58.3%	0%

Atlético Goianiense - Vitória Salvador Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Atlético GO will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ronaldo Strada (G) 2. Bruno Tubarao 3. Adriano Martins 4. Philipe Sampaio 6. Guilherme Romao 5. Rhaldney 7. Cruz A. 10. Shaylon 8. Campbell J. 11. Luiz Fernando (C) 9. Derek	1. Lucas Arcanjo (G) 27. Caceres R. 77. Neris 4. Wagner Leonardo (C) 16. Lucas Esteves 8. Luan Silva 36. Filipe Machado 30. Matheuzinho 7. Gustavo Mosquito 9. Alerrandro 96. Carlos Eduardo
Substitutes
17. Alix Vinicius 18. Gustavo Campanharo 13. Haller R. 20. Janderson 19. Lacava M. 15. Luiz Gustavo 14. Maguinho 16. Pedro Henrique 22. Pedro Paranhos 12. Pedro Rangel (G) 21. Rodriguez E.	43. Edu 37. Everaldo 39. Janderson 10. Jean Mota 33. Lawan 5. Leo Naldi 22. Muriel Becker (G) 11. Osvaldo 62. Pablo 28. Ricardo 29. Willian Oliveira 17. Ze Hugo
Coaches
Umberto Louzer	Thiago Carpini

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Alerrandro 🟨,
11', Luiz Fernando 🟨,
12', Lucas Esteves 🟨,
13', 0 - 1, Alerrandro ⚽, Gustavo Mosquito (A),
16', Gustavo Mosquito 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Shaylon ↓, Janderson ↑,
53', Lucas Arcanjo 🟨,
54', Campbell J. 🟨,
64', Rhaldney 🟨,
64', Carlos Eduardo ↓, Everaldo ↑,
73', Alerrandro ↓, Janderson ↑,
73', Luan Silva ↓, Willian Oliveira ↑,
74', Derek ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
78', 0 - 2, Matheuzinho ⚽, Janderson (A),
80', Rhaldney ↓, Gustavo Campanharo ↑,
80', Campbell J. ↓, Lacava M. ↑,
81', Cruz A. ↓, Alix Vinicius ↑,
86', Matheuzinho 🟨,
86', Gustavo Mosquito ↓, Ze Hugo ↑,
86', Filipe Machado ↓, Ricardo ↑,
90+1', Willian Oliveira 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético GO won 2.

Recent matches Atlético GO is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vitória is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético GO will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Atlético GO: Alix Vinicius (Injury)

There will not play in Vitória: Caio Vinicius (Injury) Camutanga (Injury) Fabio Soares (Injury) Matheuzinho (Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Atlético GO won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético GO won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie A
01.09.24	Cruzeiro - Atlético Goianiense	3:1 ✺
24.08.24	Atlético Goianiense - Juventude	2:1 ✺
18.08.24	Atlético Goianiense - Internacional RS	1:0 ✺
11.08.24	São Paulo - Atlético Goianiense	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
06.08.24	Vasco da Gama - Atlético Goianiense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWLL
- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A
01.09.24	Vitória Salvador - Vasco da Gama	0:1 ✺
25.08.24	São Paulo - Vitória Salvador	2:1 ✺
19.08.24	Vitória Salvador - Cruzeiro	2:2 ✺
11.08.24	Bahia - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
03.08.24	Vitória Salvador - Cuiabá	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
01.06.24	Vitória Salvador - Atlético Goianiense	0:2
Brazilian Serie B
27.08.23	Atlético Goianiense - Vitória Salvador	0:0
14.05.23	Vitória Salvador - Atlético Goianiense	2:3
24.09.19	Vitória Salvador - Atlético Goianiense	0:0
26.05.19	Atlético Goianiense - Vitória Salvador	1:1
Brazilian Serie A
29.10.17	Vitória Salvador - Atlético Goianiense	1:1
08.07.17	Atlético Goianiense - Vitória Salvador	1:2

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